Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Green Bay, WI

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000
FNUS73 KGRB 071043
FWSGRB

Spot Forecast for Warnke Wesner Rx Burn...DNR
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
543 AM CDT Fri May 7 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative contact the National Weather
Service in Green Bay.

.DISCUSSION...
Weak upper level disturbances dropping southeast across the area
today will combine with cold cyclonic flow aloft to generate
isolated to scattered showers, mainly in the east and during the
afternoon hours. Deep mixing will result in gusty northwest
winds during the mid-day and afternoon hours.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers in
                    the afternoon.
Temperature.........48 at ignition...Max 54.
RH..................58 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 11 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around
                    19 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /81500 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /104700 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  50  51  52  53  54  54  53
RH..............58  52  46  43  39  36  36  36
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..11  12  13  13  13  15  13  12
20 FT wind gust.19  19  19  19  19  19  19  16
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 5.8 6.0 6.5 7.1 7.0 7.0 7.2
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  NW  N   NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.21  22  21  20  20  21  21  20
SDspl kt-ft/100082  111 109 111 121 127 126 123

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. A
                    chance of sprinkles early in the evening.
                    Patchy frost overnight. Areas of frost after 3
                    am, then widespread frost after 3 am.
Temperature.........Min 32.
RH..................Max 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 3 to 7 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 18 mph decreasing to around 4 mph
                    late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (53500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....CHC                             PTY ARS WID WID
Weather type....RW                              FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  50  48  45  43  41  38  37  35  33  32  32
RH..............38  41  44  51  55  59  67  70  75  78  81  81
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  8   7   6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.15  14  11  8   6       5   5   5   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...6.3 2.7 1.8 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  16  12  12  12  6   6   5   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/1000107 37  18  15  12  6   5   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming partly sunny.
                    Widespread frost early in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable wind becoming southeast at 3
                    to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 3 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....WID WID WID
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............32  35  40  45  48  51  53  55  56  58  58  57
RH..............85  75  62  51  46  41  38  35  34  30  30  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 1.3 2.9 4.3 4.9 5.4 5.7 6.3 6.6 6.3 5.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   4   9   13  15  16  17  13  13  13  16

$$
Forecaster...Skowronski
Requested by...Jason Hennes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111876.0/GRB
.DELDT 05/07/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL jason.hennes@wisconsin.gov


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