Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FNUS73 KICT 050900
FWSICT

Spot Forecast for Southern East Traps...NPS
National Weather Service Wichita KS
400 AM CDT Wed May 5 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact us via NWS Chat, 800mhz radio or phone if you have
questions or concerns with this forecast,

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 3 to 10 mph increasing to around 14
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  22  44  50  63  60  66  68  62
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  58  62  64  65  65  64  64  64
RH..............44  36  31  29  29  30  32  35  37
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 2.3 3.4 4.4 5.2 5.6 4.8 5.6 5.1
Mixing wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Mixing wind spd.3   3   3   5   5   5   6   10  14
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 8 to 16 mph shifting to the west 5 to 12
                    mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  41  54  53  20  27  18  14  15  15  16  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  62  59  56  53  51  50  49  49  48  47  47
RH..............39  43  49  56  64  69  73  76  78  81  83  87
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6
Mixing wind dir.SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.8   16  6   10  5   10  7   6   6   7   12  12
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest around 16 mph shifting to the south
                    around 20 mph early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the north 16 to 20 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  42  41  40  39  29  20  10  8   5   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............46  47  49  52  55  58  61  63  65  67  68  69
RH..............90  87  81  72  62  54  47  41  37  33  30  29
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.        10  11  13  14  14  14  14  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.6 5.1 5.7 5.4
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  S   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.16  16  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  18  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Lawson
Requested by...Deon Steinle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111612.0/ICT
.DELDT 05/05/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL deon_steinle@fws.gov


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