Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 060954
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for Spirit of the wild...FWC
National Weather Service Miami FL
554 AM EDT Thu May 6 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A frontal boundary will be approaching the area from the north
today allowing for a westerly flow over the burn site today.
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible over
the burn site mainly late this morning into the early afternoon
hours before moving east of the burn site late this afternoon.
The relative humidity should fall down into the mid to upper 40s
this afternoon as the dispersion readings get up to around 70. At
this time, fog development is not expected over the burn site
tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon
                    (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1400, then 16-25 strikes.
Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4700-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 9 mph increasing to 12 to 16 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 18 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 32 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 52 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 68 decreasing to 51 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  45  39  37  33  35  46  49  55  51  57
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............72  71  77  82  86  89  92  93  93  93  92
RH..............100 100 94  82  68  59  52  49  49  47  49
20 ft wind dir..SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W
20 ft wind dir..240 260 250 220 220 230 240 250 250 250 260
20 ft wind spd..1   1   2   3   3   5   5   7   8   8   8
20 ft wind gust.            5   5   6   6   8   10  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.6 2.7 3.8 4.7 5.5 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   2   2   2   3   6   9   12  14  15  16
Dispersion idx..1   2   5   10  18  32  52  71  68  65  51
LVORI...........10  9   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  40  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 2000, then 1-8 strikes
                    until 2100, then No Tstms.
Mixing height.......2800-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 700-1500 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
                    7 mph late in the evening.
Dispersion index....61 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  50  51  49  44  26  38  28  29  33  38  43
Weather cov.....CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH
Temp............90  87  85  81  78  75  74  73  73  72  71  71
RH..............52  59  63  74  79  87  90  93  93  97  97  97
20 ft wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 ft wind dir..260 270 280 270 260 240 260 270 280 280 290 290
20 ft wind spd..8   8   7   5   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
20 ft wind gust.11  11  8   6   5   5   4   4       4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.8 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  17  16  13  9   7   6   6   6   5   5   6
Dispersion idx..61  50  14  8   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   4   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............4   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 6 to 10 mph
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Mixing height.......1000-2300 ft AGL increasing to 5600-7300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 72.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........40     40     49     37     42     46
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............70     72     79     85     88     91
RH..............97     93     77     55     43     34
20 ft wind dir..NW     NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 ft wind dir..300    310    330    310    300    300
20 ft wind spd..3      6      9      10     10     10
20 ft wind gust.4      7      12     13     13     14
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   1300   3200   4900   6300   7000
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 7   NW 12  NW 13  NW 12  W 12   W 15
Dispersion idx..3      22     44     51     53     66
LVORI...........8      5      3      1      1      1
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...Kim Chase
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111692.1/MFL


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