Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 080947
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Otter Slide WF...Usfws
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
547 AM EDT Sat May 8 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Good morning. Northerly surface and transport winds
this morning will become Northeast this afternoon then East late
in the day or early evening. There will be a slight increase in
wind speed this afternoon behind a diffuse sea breeze. On Sunday,
wind flow veers Southeast which will produce warmer temperatures
and some increase in moisture which will keep RH values a little
higher but no rain is expected.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming east 5 to 9 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-700 ft AGL increasing to 3800-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 45 in the late morning and early
                    afternoon decreasing to 20 late in the day.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............61  66  72  77  78  78  79  81  82  78
RH..............83  65  53  43  41  42  41  39  39  43
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.                                14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 2.8 3.8 4.3 4.5 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  10  9   7   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..15  38  46  47  45  38  30  25  20  20
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......2500-3500 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1500 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....23 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 5 after midnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........3      3      3      3      11     11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............76     72     69     66     66     65
RH..............48     57     67     75     78     81
20 ft wind......E 9    E 7    E 5    E 3    E 2    E 1
20 ft wind gust.
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   1500   600    600    600    900
Transport wind..NE 5   E 5    E 5    E 5    SE 6   SE 5
Dispersion idx..22     3      2      2      3      2
LVORI...........2      3      3      4      4      5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 13 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2200 ft AGL increasing to 3300-4700 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22
                    mph in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 68 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........11     14     14     14     10     10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............64     69     79     84     84     84
RH..............89     80     57     49     49     50
20 ft wind......E 2    SE 3   SE 9   SE 12  SE 13  SE 14
20 ft wind gust.                     16     17     18
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1000   3300   4600   4700   4000
Transport wind..SE 5   SE 6   SE 8   SE 14  SE 20  SE 22
Dispersion idx..2      12     36     55     68     66
LVORI...........7      4      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...Greg Suszek
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2111888.1/MLB
.DELDT 05/08/21
.EMAIL Greg_suszek@fws.gov


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