Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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000
FNUS71 KOKX 070831
FWSOKX

Spot Forecast for Currans Field RX...NYS DEC
National Weather Service New York NY
431 AM EDT Fri May 7 2021

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

631-924-0383

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are anticipated today with RH levels gradually coming
up as a light onshore flow ensues. The light onshore flow continues
into Saturday with a chance of showers by the afternoon and evening.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................55 percent at ignition...Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 6 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming east
                    around 6 mph early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the southeast 6 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 13 mph shifting to the southeast 9 to
                    15 mph in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  26  22  28  35  41  45  50  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............56  59  60  62  62  62  62  61  59
RH..............55  49  51  48  46  48  48  49  53
20 FT wind dir..060 090 100 110 130 140 140 140 130
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.10  7       7   8   10  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.8
Transp wind dir.070 080 090 100 120 130 140 150 160
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  10  9   9   10  13  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph shifting to the east 9
                    to 10 mph after 3 am.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  57  59  55  52  48  52  55  59  62  66  69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............58  55  53  51  50  49  48  47  47  47  47  46
RH..............55  61  69  71  74  80  80  83  83  83  79  83
20 FT wind dir..130 120 110 110 100 100 100 090 080 080 070 060
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.11  10  10  10  11  11  11  11  10  10  8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.150 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 100 090 080 070
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  15  13  12  10  10  10  10  9   9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Temperature.........Max 58.
RH..................Min 51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
                    6 mph late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  72  74  77  81  84  86  89  91  90  88  87
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40  40
Temp............47  47  50  52  53  55  56  56  55  55  55  54
RH..............76  76  71  63  59  55  53  51  53  53  55  57
20 FT wind dir..060 060 060 060 070 070 080 100 110 130 180 200
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.8   10  10  8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.6
Transp wind dir.070 080 080 080 090 090 090 110 110 070 350 310
Transp wind spd.10  13  14  14  13  12  10  8   7   6   5   6

$$
Forecaster...JE
Requested by...Bryan Gallagher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2111847.0/OKX
.DELDT 05/06/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL bryan.gallagher@dec.ny.gov


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