Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
000
FNUS71 KPHI 230939
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for SGL 106 RX...Pennsylvania Game Commission
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
539 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Though there will be some moisture advection with an approaching
system, the region will remain fairly dry today. Min RH values
across the region will be in the 25-35% range, with southerly
wind gusts in 15-25 mph range. As was done for Monday, a Special
Weather Statement for increased fire danger has been issued for
today.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread frost
early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 13 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the south 6 to
15 mph late in the morning, then shifting to
the southwest 18 to 22 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (90800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (102500
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 100 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22 26 25 26 22 19 15 15 19 36 38 36
Weather cov.....WID WID WID
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............35 39 43 47 51 55 57 60 61 62 63 63
RH..............64 57 55 53 48 41 38 33 33 33 32 32
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 2 5 7 9 10 12 13 14 14 14
20 FT wind gust.6 5 5 8 12 14 17 18 20 22 23 24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.5 2.3 4.7 5.7 6.0 6.3 6.4 6.3
Transp wind dir.E SE SE S S S S S S SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.6 6 5 6 8 12 15 18 20 21 22 22
ADI.............3 6 4 9 16 33 82 80 88 94 100 100
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 2 2 6 11 23 61 91 103 114 121 120
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 3 am. Chance of rain showers
after 3 am.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph shifting to the southwest 10
to 12 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (87600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (5400 knot-ft) late in the
night.
ADI.................85 early in the evening decreasing to 9 late in
the night.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34 39 60 73 83 85 88 95 100 100 100 100
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 30
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............62 60 56 54 52 51 50 49 49 49 48 49
RH..............33 35 42 46 52 54 58 61 66 63 71 68
20 FT wind dir..S S S S SE SE SE SE S SW S S
20 FT wind spd..14 13 13 13 13 12 10 9 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.23 22 22 22 21 20 18 16 15 14 13 14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.21 16 16 16 16 16 14 13 12 10 12 12
ADI.............85 14 14 14 14 14 12 11 10 9 10 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..88 11 7 7 7 8 7 7 6 7 5 5
Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning, then slight
chance of rain showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph shifting to the
northwest 13 to 17 mph in the late morning and
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph increasing to northwest
21 to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (92800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (74700
knot-ft) in the afternoon.
ADI.................10 early in the morning increasing to 86 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92 84 84 79 73 68 67 66 65 62 60 57
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
Chc of pcpn (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1
Temp............49 49 50 52 54 57 58 58 58 58 58 58
RH..............74 80 80 74 66 59 55 53 51 49 47 45
20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..9 12 14 14 14 15 16 17 18 18 20 18
20 FT wind gust.15 16 22 22 23 24 25 26 28 29 29 29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.3 2.9 3.9 4.2 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.4 4.2
Transp wind dir.SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.12 13 15 23 25 25 26 25 24 23 22 21
ADI.............10 14 23 54 69 72 81 77 74 69 86 79
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 8 18 57 85 93 114 110 105 94 84 75
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD GD GD GD
$$
Forecaster...RCM
Requested by...Jarrid Doyle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411652.2/PHI
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jadoyle@pa.gov