Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KTWC 040757
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for McDonald...San Carlos BIA
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
1257 AM MST Tue May 4 2021

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on May 04.

.DISCUSSION...There will be a strong warmup through Thursday with
prevailing warm and dry conditions with a generally terrain driven
wind regime. Heads-up: Another dry storm system with the possibility
of breezy to windy conditions may occur this weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....69 to 72 degs.
Min humidity........10 to 13 pct.
20-foot Winds.......Southwest to south winds 6 to 11 mph.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 percent.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 8500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 4 to 8 knots.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....41 to 44 degs.
Max humidity........35 to 38 pct.
20-foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph becoming downslope
                    3 to 5 mph overnight.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 percent.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......5100 ft AGL decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 7 knots.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....75 to 78 degs.
Min humidity........7 to 11 pct.
20-foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
CWR.................0 percent.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing Height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 knots.

$$
Forecaster...RASMUSSEN
Requested by...McDonald IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2111166.3/TWC
.DELDT 05/04/21
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov


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