


Point Forecast Matrices
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
151 FOUS54 KTSA 150532 PFMTSA Point Forecast Matrices National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 OKZ060-160900- Tulsa-Tulsa OK 36.20N 95.90W Elev. 677 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 73 92 75 93 76 Temp 79 75 73 81 88 90 88 82 79 78 76 84 90 91 89 84 80 78 77 Dewpt 72 72 72 72 72 71 72 72 72 72 73 73 72 72 72 72 71 71 72 RH 79 90 97 74 59 54 59 72 79 82 90 70 56 54 57 67 74 79 85 Wind dir S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 4 2 4 5 9 10 11 10 9 9 9 11 13 13 11 10 9 8 6 Clouds SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC B1 PoP 12hr 0 5 5 5 10 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S Tstms S Heat index 95 96 95 90 97 99 96 90 Max heat 95 97 92 97 99 95 Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 93 74 95 76 95 77 97 78 96 Temp 89 88 79 75 91 91 81 77 92 91 83 78 93 93 83 78 92 92 Dewpt 72 72 72 71 71 70 71 71 72 72 71 72 72 72 71 71 72 71 PWind dir S SE S S S S S S S Wind char GN LT LT LT GN GN GN GN GN Avg clouds B1 SC B1 B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 20 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 Rain shwrs S S S S Tstms S S S S $$ ARZ029-160900- Fort Smith-Sebastian AR 35.35N 94.39W Elev. 469 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 73 91 75 94 75 Temp 78 75 75 80 85 88 86 81 78 77 76 84 89 92 91 83 79 77 75 Dewpt 74 73 73 74 74 73 73 74 74 74 74 74 73 71 72 72 73 72 73 RH 88 94 94 82 70 61 65 79 88 90 94 72 59 51 54 70 82 85 94 Wind dir SE SE S SW SW SW S SE SE SE E S SW S S S S SE E Wind spd 3 2 2 4 6 8 6 3 2 2 3 5 9 9 6 3 2 2 2 Clouds B2 B2 B2 B1 B1 SC SC FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 30 10 10 0 QPF 12hr 0.08 0.09 0 0 0 Rain shwrs C C S S S C Tstms S S S S C Heat index 93 96 93 91 97 99 99 Max heat 93 96 90 97 100 96 Flood A A A Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 96 75 97 76 96 76 97 77 98 Temp 90 92 80 76 92 93 80 77 91 92 81 77 91 93 82 78 92 94 Dewpt 72 72 73 74 72 71 74 74 73 72 75 74 73 72 74 75 72 72 PWind dir S SE S SE S SE S SE S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW PoP 12hr 10 5 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 $$ OKZ073-160900- McAlester-Pittsburg OK 34.90N 95.78W Elev. 770 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 71 91 74 93 74 Temp 73 73 73 81 86 87 85 79 77 76 76 82 88 90 86 80 78 77 75 Dewpt 71 71 72 73 74 74 74 73 72 72 72 73 73 72 72 72 71 71 71 RH 93 93 97 77 68 65 70 82 85 87 87 74 61 56 63 77 79 82 87 Wind dir S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 1 1 2 5 8 8 5 4 5 4 5 8 10 9 5 4 4 4 4 Clouds B1 B2 B2 SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC SC FW FW SC PoP 12hr 20 20 10 10 5 QPF 12hr 0.04 0.01 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S S S Tstms S S S Heat index 94 95 93 96 97 92 Max heat 94 97 96 97 90 Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 94 73 95 74 95 76 96 76 96 Temp 90 89 77 74 92 90 78 75 91 90 79 77 92 91 80 77 91 91 Dewpt 72 72 70 70 71 72 72 71 73 73 73 72 73 72 71 71 73 72 PWind dir S S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 5 0 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 $$ OKZ055-160900- Bartlesville-Washington OK 36.75N 95.97W Elev. 711 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 70 91 73 94 74 Temp 75 71 72 81 89 90 88 80 76 75 75 84 90 92 89 81 78 75 75 Dewpt 73 71 71 74 73 73 72 73 72 71 71 74 74 74 73 73 72 71 72 RH 94100 97 79 59 58 59 79 87 87 87 72 60 56 59 77 82 87 90 Wind dir N N S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 0 0 1 3 6 8 6 5 5 5 5 10 11 11 9 5 4 3 2 Clouds SC FW B1 SC FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW SC B1 PoP 12hr 0 0 0 5 20 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0.01 Rain shwrs S S C Tstms S S C Heat index 97 98 95 91 99102 97 Max heat 97 99 92 99 102 93 Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 91 71 93 73 95 74 96 75 96 Temp 87 86 75 72 89 89 77 75 92 91 79 76 93 92 80 77 92 91 Dewpt 74 73 73 71 73 73 71 71 74 73 73 72 74 73 71 71 74 73 PWind dir S E S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT GN LT GN Avg clouds B1 B1 B1 B1 B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 30 5 5 0 5 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C C C S Tstms C C C S $$ ARZ010-160900- Fayetteville-Washington AR 36.01N 94.17W Elev. 1251 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 70 89 72 91 72 Temp 73 71 72 78 83 86 84 77 74 74 74 82 87 89 86 79 75 74 75 Dewpt 71 69 70 72 72 71 71 72 71 71 70 73 71 71 70 70 70 68 69 RH 93 93 93 82 70 61 65 85 90 90 87 74 59 56 59 74 84 82 82 Wind dir N N S SW SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW S S S S S Wind spd 0 0 1 4 8 9 6 3 3 3 4 8 10 10 6 3 2 2 2 Clouds B1 B2 B1 B1 B1 SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC PoP 12hr 40 30 10 20 5 QPF 12hr 0.45 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S C C S S S S S Tstms S S S S S S S Obvis PF PF Heat index 91 93 95 91 Max heat 91 93 95 Flood A A A Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 92 72 94 72 94 73 94 74 95 Temp 87 87 75 74 90 88 75 74 89 88 77 76 90 90 77 76 90 90 Dewpt 71 71 71 69 70 70 70 70 71 71 72 70 72 71 71 71 71 70 PWind dir SW S S S S S SW S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT GN Avg clouds SC SC SC B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 10 10 5 10 5 5 5 5 Rain shwrs S Tstms S $$ ARZ002-160900- Berryville-Carroll AR 36.36N 93.56W Elev. 1296 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 69 88 72 91 72 Temp 72 71 70 77 82 86 83 76 74 74 73 81 88 89 86 79 76 74 73 Dewpt 71 70 69 72 73 73 72 71 71 71 70 74 74 73 72 70 69 68 69 RH 97 97 97 85 74 65 70 85 90 90 90 79 63 59 63 74 79 82 87 Wind dir S S S SW SW SW SW S S S S SW SW SW S S S SW S Wind spd 2 1 2 3 5 6 5 3 2 3 4 6 9 8 5 3 2 2 2 Clouds SC B1 B2 B2 B1 SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 30 10 30 5 QPF 12hr 0 0.01 0.02 0 0 Rain shwrs S C C S S S S C C Tstms S S C S S S S C C Heat index 93 97 97 92 Max heat 93 97 98 Flood A A A Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 92 72 93 71 93 72 95 74 95 Temp 88 86 75 73 88 85 75 73 89 87 77 74 90 88 77 76 91 89 Dewpt 72 72 71 70 72 72 71 71 72 71 71 70 72 72 71 70 72 71 PWind dir SW S SW S SW S SW S SW Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds SC SC SC B1 SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 20 20 5 10 5 5 5 5 Rain shwrs S S S Tstms S S S $$ OKZ070-160900- Muskogee-Muskogee OK 35.66N 95.36W Elev. 611 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 72 89 74 92 74 Temp 75 72 73 80 85 87 85 79 77 75 76 82 88 91 88 80 77 75 75 Dewpt 72 72 72 74 74 74 74 75 74 73 73 74 73 72 72 72 72 71 71 RH 90100 97 82 70 65 70 88 90 94 90 77 61 54 59 77 85 87 87 Wind dir S S S S SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 3 2 3 5 6 8 6 5 5 5 5 8 10 10 6 5 4 4 4 Clouds B1 B1 B2 B1 SC SC SC SC FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 10 10 5 10 5 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs Heat index 93 95 93 96 99 95 Max heat 93 95 90 96 99 91 Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 92 73 94 74 93 76 95 76 95 Temp 87 90 77 74 89 91 78 76 89 91 79 76 90 92 80 78 90 92 Dewpt 72 73 73 71 71 73 73 72 73 73 73 72 73 73 73 71 73 73 PWind dir S S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT GN LT GN Avg clouds SC SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW PoP 12hr 10 10 5 0 5 5 5 5 5 $$ OKZ058-160900- Miami-Ottawa OK 36.90N 94.86W Elev. 808 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 71 90 74 93 73 Temp 74 72 72 80 85 89 87 78 76 75 75 83 89 91 88 80 77 75 74 Dewpt 72 72 71 74 73 73 73 73 73 73 73 75 75 74 73 72 71 71 71 RH 93100 97 82 67 59 63 85 90 94 94 77 64 58 61 77 82 87 90 Wind dir SE S S SW S SW S S S S S S SW S S S S S S Wind spd 3 2 2 4 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 10 11 11 9 5 5 5 4 Clouds B1 SC SC B1 SC SC FW SC FW SC SC FW FW SC SC FW FW FW SC PoP 12hr 5 5 5 10 20 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0.02 Rain shwrs S S C Tstms S S C Obvis PF PF Heat index 92 97 94 90 99101 96 Max heat 92 97 91 99 101 92 Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 90 72 93 73 94 74 95 76 95 Temp 86 86 75 74 88 89 77 74 90 90 78 76 90 91 80 76 91 90 Dewpt 74 74 73 72 73 74 72 72 74 74 73 72 75 74 72 71 74 73 PWind dir SW SE S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT GN LT GN LT GN Avg clouds SC B1 B1 B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 40 30 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 Rain shwrs C C C C Tstms C C C C $$ OKZ066-160900- Henryetta-Okmulgee OK 35.44N 95.98W Elev. 849 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 71 91 74 92 74 Temp 72 71 72 80 86 88 85 78 76 75 75 83 88 90 87 80 77 75 75 Dewpt 71 71 72 74 74 74 74 73 73 73 73 74 74 74 73 72 71 71 71 RH 97100100 82 68 63 70 85 90 94 94 74 63 60 63 77 82 87 87 Wind dir S S S SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 3 2 2 5 6 8 6 5 5 5 5 9 10 9 6 5 5 4 5 Clouds B1 B1 B2 B1 SC SC B1 SC SC FW SC FW FW SC SC FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 0 10 5 10 5 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Heat index 94 97 93 90 97 99 94 Max heat 94 97 97 99 92 Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 94 72 94 73 94 76 95 76 96 Temp 89 89 77 73 90 90 78 75 90 91 78 76 91 91 80 78 91 91 Dewpt 73 72 70 70 71 72 71 71 73 73 73 72 73 72 70 71 73 72 PWind dir S S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT GN Avg clouds SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 10 5 0 0 5 0 5 5 5 $$ OKZ053-160900- Hugo-Choctaw OK 34.02N 95.52W Elev. 572 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 71 90 73 91 73 Temp 73 73 73 80 85 88 85 79 76 74 73 81 87 90 88 80 77 75 74 Dewpt 73 72 72 75 74 73 73 73 72 73 72 73 72 71 72 72 70 70 70 RH 100 97 97 85 70 61 67 82 87 97 97 77 61 54 59 77 79 84 87 Wind dir S S S SW SW S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 1 3 3 5 6 8 5 4 4 4 4 5 9 9 5 4 3 3 3 Clouds SC SC B1 SC SC FW FW SC FW SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 20 10 0 0 QPF 12hr 0.01 0.07 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S S S S S S Tstms S S S S S S Heat index 93 96 92 94 96 95 Max heat 93 96 90 94 96 92 Flood A A A Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 94 73 95 73 92 75 95 76 95 Temp 90 89 77 74 90 90 77 74 89 89 79 76 91 91 80 76 91 91 Dewpt 71 71 70 70 72 72 72 72 74 73 73 72 73 72 72 71 73 70 PWind dir S SE S SE S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT LT Avg clouds FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 0 0 0 0 5 5 5 0 0 $$ OKZ060-160900- Jenks-Tulsa OK 36.04N 95.98W Elev. 638 ft 1232 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 Date 07/14/25 Tue 07/15/25 Wed 07/16/25 Thu CDT 3hrly 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 UTC 3hrly 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 Min/Max 72 91 74 93 75 Temp 76 74 73 80 88 90 87 80 77 76 76 84 90 91 89 83 79 77 76 Dewpt 74 72 72 75 74 74 75 74 73 73 73 75 75 74 74 73 72 71 72 RH 94 93 97 85 63 60 68 82 87 90 90 74 62 58 61 72 79 82 87 Wind dir S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S Wind spd 3 2 2 5 6 9 9 5 5 5 5 9 11 11 9 5 5 5 4 Clouds SC SC B2 SC FW SC SC SC SC FW FW FW FW SC SC FW FW SC SC PoP 12hr 0 5 5 5 10 QPF 12hr 0 0 0 0 0 Rain shwrs S Tstms S Heat index 97 99 96 92101101 98 Max heat 97 99 94 101 102 95 Date 07/17 Fri 07/18/25 Sat 07/19/25 Sun 07/20/25 Mon 07/21/25 CDT 6hrly 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 UTC 6hrly 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 06 12 18 00 Max/Min 93 73 95 75 95 76 96 77 97 Temp 89 89 78 74 90 91 79 76 91 91 81 77 92 93 82 78 92 92 Dewpt 74 75 73 72 73 73 72 72 74 74 73 72 73 73 71 71 74 73 PWind dir S S S S S S S S S Wind char LT LT LT LT LT LT GN LT GN Avg clouds B1 B1 SC B1 SC SC FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW FW PoP 12hr 20 10 5 0 0 5 5 5 5 Rain shwrs S S Tstms S S $$