184
FXUS64 KAMA 132341
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
641 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 951 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

- Shower and thunderstorms chances persist for the panhandle
  during the next 7 days.

- Below average high temperatures will continue until a warming
  trend begins later this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday night)
Issued at 951 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

The southern plains continues to be under a weather pattern
consisting of high pressure both to the east and west of the
region with a trough over the region. This pattern will keep gulf
moisture across the panhandles for the next couple of days. The
panhandles finds itself under a relatively more stable section of
the trough with the better dynamics to the south in central TX
panhandle. This means that the main driving force for rain showers
and thunderstorms will be through general instability and the
reaching of convective temperature. The only issue with this is
the moisture itself is keeping temperatures on the cooler side
with daytime high brushing the convective temperature. This means
that there is a low chance for rain showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening and again for Monday afternoon and evening.
With high moisture still over the panhandles if any of the
isolated storms manage to form then they could produce localized
heavy rainfall. The temperatures will be below normal for today
and Monday with highs mainly in the 80s this afternoon increasing
to mainly 80s and low 90s for Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 951 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

The southern plains seems poised to have a slow shift in the
weather pattern through the work week. The current pattern would
then be supplanted by the eastern high pressure as it builds
westward over the southern plains. This puts the panhandles under
the western edge of this high pressure which has a low chance of
pushing small weather system over the area. Moisture from the Gulf
remains over the panhandles under this weather pattern so any of
these weather system would cause rain showers and thunderstorms.
This would make the later portions of the week more active than
the earlier portions of the week. The building of the high
pressure would bring a warming in the temperatures that would
then be tempered by the increase in the rain showers and
thunderstorms. So it seems that later portions of the week will be
warmer than the early portions but by a few degrees.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours as it`s expected
to be pretty quiet. Only thing going on for the first few hours is
pop up storms. Right now will deal with them via amendments, as
they will be short lived 30 to 45 minutes. Otherwise scattered mid
to high clouds and winds in the 5 to 10 kt range out of the south
and east.

Weber

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...98
LONG TERM....98
AVIATION...89