Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 171811

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
111 PM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019


Thunderstorms may affect KDHT and KGUY this evening with a higher
probability of occurrence at KDHT. Otherwise, expect VFR
conditions to continue with winds continuing out of the south,
gustier during daytime hours.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 353 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019/

Hot temperatures will continue to be the story through at least
Saturday, possibly Sunday. Isolated to scattered storm potential
will be there today, storms should not be severe, although there
could be some strong wind gusts out of them. Best chances of
widespread precipitation look to return Sunday into Monday as a
frontal system is expected to move through. Temperatures across
the Panhandles should be back in the mid 80s to mid 90s by late
weekend to early next week.

Today, upper level ridge will shift to the east with return flow
from the south. Residual outflow boundaries from last nights
storms in combination with strong daytime heating as well as a
weak disturbance in the upper level flow could trigger some storms
this afternoon/evening, mainly along the western Panhandles.
Temperatures will be pretty close to yesterday`s highs, but may
fall a degree or two short.

Thursday through Saturday. Very hot temperatures will be in store
for the Panhandles. 850mb temperatures will be upwards of almost
35C across the central and western Panhandles. Given the 850mb
temperatures in the low 30C range yesterday that brought about
100-105 temperatures across much of these areas, it`s not out of
the question that some areas, especially if we have a heat index,
to reach 110+ degrees.

New ridge of high pressure will begin to amplify over the Four
Corners region as cooler air from a system over the Great Lakes
provides cooler air to the Panhandles and eastern CONUS. Front
looks to move through during the Sunday evening time period to
Monday afternoon time period. Storms are expected to develop along
this front, and therefore there`s a chance across all of the
Panhandles Sunday and Monday.



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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