Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
754 FXUS64 KCRP 131725 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1225 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1144 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 - Low rain chances (20-30%) through Monday. - Dry the rest of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1144 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Convection is expected to be limited across the Coastal Bend through the next couple days as deep moisture and large-scale forcing are lacking. A weak mid-level impulse moving through the Rio Grande Plains may spark isolated showers or storms across portions of the Brush Country into tomorrow, with sea breeze and streamer showers in the cards farther east. NBM PoPs came in too low across the west so added in a slight chance (20-25%) to account for this. Rain chances remain highest across the Victoria Crossroads tomorrow (~30%) as shortwaves pass to the north of the CWA, but widespread rainfall is not anticipated. By midweek, the overall trend across South Texas looks drier and more stable as moisture decreases and high pressure expands from the east. Highs will generally be in the low to mid 90s, with highs progged to reach the upper 90s to triple digits across the Brush Country. Heat risk will range from minor to moderate (levels 1-2 of 4) across the region, with heat indices expected to be below 110 degF and thus below Heat Advisory criteria. However, please continue to practice heat safety to prevent any heat- related stress/illnesses. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s, though slightly cooler lows drift in mid-to-late week in response to the drier in filtering into the region. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1144 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Mainly VFR conditions are expected throughout this TAF cycle. Although guidance is not indicating great chances, would not be surprised if periods of MVFR ceilings develop overnight. Storms from the Hill Country are progressing southward this morning which has prompted the addition of PROB30 groups for COT and LRD. Once confidence increases on timing and coverage of this activity we will issue amendments as needed. && .MARINE... Issued at 1144 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) southeasterly winds will persist over the waters through much of the upcoming week. Low rain chances (20-30%) remain in the forecast through Monday before mainly dry conditions persist through the rest of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 78 92 78 92 / 0 10 10 10 Victoria 76 93 76 93 / 10 30 10 20 Laredo 78 100 78 100 / 20 20 10 10 Alice 75 96 76 96 / 0 20 10 10 Rockport 81 91 81 91 / 10 10 10 10 Cotulla 78 100 78 100 / 30 40 20 10 Kingsville 76 93 77 93 / 0 20 0 10 Navy Corpus 81 89 81 89 / 10 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KRS/98 AVIATION...JCP/84