Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 180452 AAC
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1052 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019

.DISCUSSION...See Aviation section for 06Z TAFs.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will persist through early Monday
morning over all of south Texas. Post frontal stratus deck
lingers over the northwest Gulf of Mexico and satellite trends
show western edge of stratus reaching the coast near Baffin Bay.
As low level flow veers to easterly late tonight, the low clouds
will move into the southern Coastal Bend around 10Z. Continued to
go with the GFS/RAP solution with regards to moisture return and
arrival of low clouds. MVFR ceilings expected to reach CRP around
11Z and ALI by 13Z. Clouds will reach the western Brush Country
and Victoria Crossroads by mid afternoon but ceilings will be VFR.
North to northeast winds will be gusty along the coast through
early Monday morning. Ceilings will continue to fall to the lower
end of MVFR over the Coastal Bend between 22Z-00Z with light
showers possible late in the evening that could lower vsbys to
MVFR. MVFR ceilings are expected to move inland to LRD-VCT line
by mid evening Monday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 942 PM CST Sun Feb 17 2019/

DISCUSSION...Surface high pressure will continue to build into
the region overnight with winds remaining a bit gusty over the
coastal areas. Satellite loop shows the back edge of the stratus
deck over the northwest Gulf of Mexico slowly moving westward.
Will show clouds increasing over the southern Coastal Bend before
daybreak. Also adjust cloud cover to cloudy over the southern
Coastal Bend for Monday afternoon. No changes were made to the
current temperature forecast. See Marine section for Small Craft
Advisory.

MARINE...A moderate to strong northeast flow will continue over
the Gulf waters tonight through Monday night. Adjusted the seas up
slightly tonight into Monday. SCEC conditions will continue for
the bays through Monday night. No changes made to the current
SCA expiration.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    50  59  54  66  51  /  10  20  50  40  40
Victoria          45  62  51  60  48  /   0  10  50  50  40
Laredo            48  64  52  68  52  /   0  10  20  20  30
Alice             48  59  52  65  51  /  10  10  40  30  40
Rockport          50  59  55  63  51  /  10  20  50  40  40
Cotulla           44  64  49  62  47  /   0  10  20  40  30
Kingsville        51  59  54  67  53  /  10  20  40  30  40
Navy Corpus       54  60  57  66  54  /  10  20  50  40  40

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Tuesday For the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out
     20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship
     Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas
     from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda
     Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

TMT/89...AVIATION


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