Text Products for AFD Issued by FFC

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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FXUS62 KFFC 091745
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
145 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2023



...New 18Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 320 AM EDT Fri Jun 9 2023

As anticipated yesterdays cold front has stalled just along the
FFC/TAE border. This boundary could create a few isolated rain
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon across our southern border.
Not expecting any of these storms to be severe.

Dry northwesterly flow aloft will continue today with the Deep South
situated on the southern periphery of a surface high. All in all
this will translate into a dry sunny day with high temperatures in
the in the 80s and low temperatures in the mid-50s to upper 60s.
Deep mixing today will aid in dew points falling well below normal
values for this time of year. Despite the low dewpoints wide spread
fire weather conditions will remain at bay. While a few spots in NW
GA could see min RHs dipping into Fire Danger statement territory
these conditions will be very spotty and will not be met for long
enough to warrant a headline.

Tomorrow will be very similar to today with dry northwesterly flow
aloft becoming more zonal and high pressure building at the surface.
This will lead to a slightly warmer day with high temperatures in
the mid 80s and low 90s.

28

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 320 AM EDT Fri Jun 9 2023

By Sunday the main trough will have moved well of the east coast
into the Atlantic which will set us up for the pattern ahead which
will be more unsettled than the short term. An upper level low
forms over the Great lakes bringing troughing through the central
plains Sunday before the low deepens and the trough swings
eastward into the the southeast and Georgia on Monday. This upper
level feature equates to a cold front moving through our area
Sunday into Monday which during this time of year is expected to
provide some level of forcing that could give us more organized
thunderstorms than the normal summertime pop up storms. The timing
is in favor for this area though for severe weather as the
instability is more prominent during the afternoon whereas the
front is more expected overnight at this time.

Following the frontal passage the low pressure system is expected to
stall in the Canadian Maritimes and the front is also expected to
stall over central and southern Georgia. This will overall put us in
a westerly pattern with moisture being fueled in from this
direction. THe exact positioning of this front will determine how
much rainfall we get through the end of next week. at this time
daily afternoon into evening rain chances and thunderstorms can be
expected for much of next week with QPF value in the 0.5-2" range
for much of the area. MAx temps are expected to stay in the mid
80s for northern Georgia and the upper 80s for central Georgia.
There could be a bit of variation over the next couple of days
depending on where the frontal system stalls out.

Hernandez

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 139 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2023

VFR through the TAF period. Winds have shifted for the afternoon
the the northwest and will be 7-11 kts with some gusts
occasionally. Some afternoon cu could develop around airfield,
generally above 6000 ft. SKC expected overnight, with winds
shifting back to NE shortly after sundown. Winds will continue
eastward shift, then SE around sunrise, before shifting SW near
16Z tomorrow. Some cu could develop during afternoon again,
generally above 6000 ft.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

High confidence all elements.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          59  88  66  85 /   0   0  10  70
Atlanta         64  88  68  85 /   0   0  10  70
Blairsville     56  81  60  78 /   0   0  10  70
Cartersville    56  88  66  86 /   0   0  10  80
Columbus        66  91  68  87 /   0  10  20  70
Gainesville     59  86  65  83 /   0   0  10  70
Macon           63  91  68  88 /   0  10  20  60
Rome            56  90  66  86 /   0   0  20  70
Peachtree City  59  88  66  85 /   0  10  10  70
Vidalia         66  91  69  90 /   0  10  10  60

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...28
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Lusk
National Weather Service Regional Headquarters
