320
FXUS61 KILN 071804
AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
204 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Canadian high pressure will bring dry but cool conditions the
region through the weekend. A warming trend will develop
through the upcoming work week as dry conditions persist.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
Scattered to broken cu/sc is expected to dissipate this evening
as surface high pressure builds in from the northwest. Winds
will taper off this evening and become light overnight. This
will allow for good radiational cooling to develop. DESI has the
probability of temps less than 37 degrees at greater than 60
percent across much of our northern and eastern forecast area.
Will therefore undercut guidance a tad with temps. Still expect
overnight lows mostly in the upper 30s to lower 40s, but a few
cooler readings will be possible in outlying areas across the
north and east. Will go ahead and include some patchy frost
wording in the colder locations. Record low temps may also be
within reach at the Big 3 climate locations (CMH 39 in 1951, DAY
42 in 1898 and CVG 44 in 1956).

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
The surface high will shift east across the region Sunday into
Sunday night. This will lead to continued dry and cool
conditions. Highs on Sunday will be in the upper 60s to lower
70s with lows Sunday night in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A large area of high pressure settling slowly across the CONUS is
forecast to dictate weather conditions through the period. Dry
weather is expected in the subsident circulation around the high.
Increasing humidity on Friday may allow isolated showers, but the
chance is below the threshold to show up in the forecast at this
time.

High temperatures starting around 80 on Monday will exhibit a
warming trend, reaching around 90 Wednesday and Thursday. A slight
retreat to the mid and upper 80s is forecast for Friday and
Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Scattered to locally broken cumulus and stratocumulus will
persist across the region through this afternoon. The clouds
will dissipate heading into this evening with skies becoming
mostly clear. Northerly winds gusting in the 20 to 25 knot range
will also taper off this evening and become light overnight as
high pressure builds into the area. Few to sct cu development
will be possible again later Sunday morning and into the
afternoon.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JGL
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...JGL
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...JGL