Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 201912
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
212 PM CDT Sat Jul 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Relief from the heat isn`t far away but we will have to endure
triple digit heat today with the center of the upper level ridge
overhead. As the ridge begins to amplify and shift west/northwest
tomorrow, northwest flow will begin to cool us down tomorrow,
followed by a sharp decline in temperatures for Monday and Tuesday
as a cold front pushes south across our area toward the I20
corridor by late in the day on Monday. The ECMWF continues to be a
bit slower with the progress of the cold front, while GFS and NAM
are in relatively good consensus. Even if the the front is
slower, it won`t have much effect on the forecast. Any convection
with the front will be sub-severe, and short lived, as dry air
quickly filters in top down under northerly flow aloft.

Northerly component surface winds remain in place behind the front
through early Wednesday morning when winds become southerly again
after sunrise and temperatures begin to climb their way back up
toward 90, but then hover there for the remainder of the week on
the eastern periphery of the stagnant ridge over the dessert
southwest. With the center of the ridge holding firm to our west
through the remainder of the forecast period, we will remain
mostly dry but temperatures should hold steady around 90 degrees
past next weekend.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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