Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 240758
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
258 AM CDT Mon Jun 24 2019


.DISCUSSION...

Skies are cloudy across much of the Mid-South early this morning
with temperatures ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s. A large
area of rain covers the region at this time with a few strong to
severe thunderstorms moving across northeast Mississippi. All of
this rain is associated with an MCS which covers much of the
region.

The MCS will move slowly east today bringing more showers and
thunderstorms to the region this morning. As the MCS weakens and
moves east, the coverage of rain should greatly diminish this
afternoon. With all the clouds and rain around this morning,
temperatures will be cooler today with highs in the mid 80s. By
tonight, a cold front will have moved into the Mid-South then
stall out close to the Tennessee/Mississippi border. a few
thunderstorm may form ahead of the front across southern sections
of the Mid-South. Temperatures will be a little below normal
tonight with lows Tuesday morning in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

On Tuesday, the stalled out front will eventually push south and
out of the region. A few scattered thunderstorms will be possible
on Tuesday. Temperatures will be a little warmer than today with
highs in the mid to upper 80s. With the cold front out of the
region, the threat of thunderstorms will diminish over northern
sections of the Mid-South. Temperatures Tuesday night will be
similar to tonight with lows Wednesday morning in the upper 60s to
lower 70s.

Wednesday will see a return of more summer like weather with
scattered thunderstorms developing mainly in the afternoon hours.
Temperatures will remain below normal with highs in the mid to
upper 80s. Thursday and Friday will be similar to Wednesday with
more afternoon thunderstorms expected to develop.

The weekend loos to have similar weather with more scattered
thunderstorms expected to form mainly during the afternoon
hours. Temperatures are expected to remain slightly below normal
for the weekend.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
/06z TAFs/

SHRA and isolated TS will continue through early morning across
the area. Mainly VFR conds overnight, with intermittent periods
of MVFR due to -SHRA. There is some concern about MVFR CIGs
moving into all sites by early morning, but confidence remains
low. Conds should improve back to VFR by the afternoon hours.

Southwest winds throughout the period with gusts tomorrow
afternoon.

AC3

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$



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