Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 240840
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
240 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday Night)
Issued at 240 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

Dominant northerly flow to remain the main weather feature through
the forecast period.

A cold front advancing through Nebraska into western Iowa at
midnight will descend very quickly through Missouri today. This
will set the stage for late morning high temperatures followed by
falling temperatures. A few flurries will be possible...with the
better chances over Central MO. No accumulation is expected.

Cold Canadian high pressure will settle southward in behind the
front resulting in single digit low temperatures and wind chills
around zero tonight.

As the high departs to the east on Friday...the next short wave
will descend off the western ridge into the Central Plains.
Short range models show some inconsistency with how far south the
impact of this system will be felt but at least some light
flurries are not out of the question over the Lake of the Ozarks
region where some trace amounts of snow accumulations will be
possible late Friday into Friday night. Confidence is not
sufficient to add mention in the forecast though at this time.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 240 AM CST Thu Jan 24 2019

The period will initially see rising heights despite weak
impulses making their way down the ridge into the plains. Each
will bring a bit of light precipitation that for the most part
will remain north of the forecast area. Temperatures will witness
a warming trend as heights build over the weekend into early next
week. The warming will however be offset by increasing winds
which will keep wind chills significantly colder.

GFS/ECMWF depict decent agreement with the approach of a more
noteworthy short wave Monday into Tuesday. Potential
precipitation with this system would begin as rain changing to
snow with accumulations appearing light.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect VFR conditions over the next 24 hours.

We could experience some high clouds tomorrow, while no
obstructions to visibilities are expected.

Cold northwest flow was present over the region, and will continue
through the next rest of the week.

Safe Travels.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Runnels
AVIATION...Cramer


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