033
FNUS74 KEPZ 132034
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Goose Fire...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
234 PM MDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 MDT on July 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Expect daily shower and thunderstorm chances over the region
through the week. Today and Monday will have the best chances over
the burn area with a downtick on Tuesday. Winds generally light
and terrain driven except gusty near thunderstorms. Temperatures
will be cooling down as the moisture increases.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Areas of smoke in
                    the morning and early afternoon. Isolatd
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
                    Numerous showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (48200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........45        14        43        63
Weather cov.....AREAS     AREAS     NUMRUS    NUMRUS
Weather type....SMOKE     SMOKE     RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........NONE      SCTTRD    NUMRUS    NUMRUS
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        60        70
Temp............55        66        82        84
RH..............70        53        25        25
20 FT wind......W 2G5     S 3G8     S 5G12    S 5G13
Mix hgt (ft)....2700      2700      8400      6000
Transport wind..SE 5      SE 5      SE 5      S 10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11        11        46        48
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      FAIR      FAIR

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...GRZYWACZ
Requested by...Silver City Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517818.3/EPZ
.DELDT 07/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov