Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
234
FNUS74 KEWX 251309
FWSEWX
Spot Forecast for Blue Bluff - Piles...Travis County Fire Marshal
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
809 AM CDT Thu Jul 25 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on July 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
A band of showers and thunderstorms currently ongoing will likely move
westward toward the burn area this morning. These slow-moving showers
and storms will be capable of producing brief heavy rain, lightning
strikes and gusty and erratic winds. Rain chances appear to remain
good through the remainder of this weekend, with a gradual drying
trend expected into early next week.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 46 percent by late
morning, then decreasing to 30 percent in the
afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0700, then 1-8 strikes until
1000, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east around 4 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73 74 73 71 69 73 63 54
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............50 50 50 40 30 30 30 30
LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............79 80 80 81 82 83 83 84
RH..............88 85 85 82 79 77 74 74
20 FT wind dir..E E E NE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.10 12 12 12 12 13 13 13
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E E NE E E E E
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5
Transp wind dir.NE NE E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.8 9 10 12 12 12 12 10
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers
through the night.
CWR.................4 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 1900, then 1-8 strikes until
2200, then No Tstms until 0100, then 1-8
strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds around 4 mph decreasing to northeast
around 3 mph early in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM
Sky (%).........50 55 75
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC
CWR.............0 0 0
LAL.............3 1 2
Temp............81 75 73
RH..............82 97 97
20 FT wind......NE 6G12 E 2G6 SE 1G5
Eye level wind..NE 4G7 E 1G4 SE 1G3
Mix hgt (ft)....2300 1200 1200
Transport wind..E 9 SE 9 SE 9
Haines index....3 3 3
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers
through the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................4 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1300, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
the late morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81 83 76 79 75 78 72 65 66 66 67 65
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
Temp............72 71 73 73 76 77 79 81 82 83 83 83
RH..............100 100 100 100 94 90 86 82 79 76 74 74
20 FT wind dir..NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.5 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 12 12
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.1 2.9
Transp wind dir.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...24
Requested by...Glen Gillman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2418889.0/EWX
.DELDT 07/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL glen.gillman@traviscountytx.gov