394
FNUS75 KFGZ 270154
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Waterman...DFFM
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
654 PM MST Fri Jul 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 MST on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ.

.DISCUSSION...

*A drying trend continues on Saturday as southwest winds increase.
Afternoon humidity will be near critical with wind gusts up to
30 mph at the fire site.

*Poor humidity recovery is expected Saturday night. Southwest
winds remain enhanced on Sunday with continued critical afternoon
humidity.

*Long Range Outlook: The drying trend persists through much of next
week with low afternoon humidity, poor humidity recoveries overnight,
and hot temperatures. Southwest winds decrease for Monday and Tuesday.
Precipitation chances don`t return to the forecast at the fire until
next Wednesday/Thursday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......5 percent.
Max temperature.....97-100.
Min humidity........14-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8-12 mph in the morning, becoming
southwest 12-18 mph with gusts up to 30 mph
by 1100 MST.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2020.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....70-73.
Max humidity........26-29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8-12 mph, becoming southeast
3-6 mph by midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......6.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph, shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....94-98.
Min humidity........13-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 3-6 mph in the morning, becoming
southwest 10-15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph by
1100 MST.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1555.
Mixing height.......10000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 20 mph, shifting to the southwest
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...LAGUARDIA
Requested by...BYRON KIMBALL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418980.2/FGZ
.DELDT 07/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bkimball@dffm.az.gov