Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 161307
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Rowan-Rocky Creek Tree Farm...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
907 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2020

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on September 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain cooler and drier weather across the
region today as moisture associated with tropical cyclone Sally
begins to move into the area late this afternoon. Expect heavy
rainfall Thursday and Friday as the remnants of Sally moves into the
Southeast, with a fall-like air mass settling into the region over
the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 8 to 10 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (38000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................18.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........2500 early becoming 23000 this afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....9.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  44  42  46  50  54  59  64  70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  62  66  69  71  74  75  75  76
RH..............85  80  75  70  66  63  62  62  63
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.3 3.1
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   7   9   10  10  8   8
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
ADI.............8   16  20  22  27  28  28  27  26
VRate kt-ft/10006   11  15  17  31  38  37  23  22
Ceiling (hft)...025 240 240 250 240 240 240 240 240
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    in the evening, then showers
                    likely overnight. Patchy fog after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL late in the
                    evening.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (14300 knot-ft)
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................9.
Pcpn amount.........0.18 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........10000 decreasing to 500.0.
Visibility (SM).....5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75  81  86  89  92  95  96  97  97  97  97  97
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  71  69  68  67  66  66  65  65  64  64  64
RH..............68  74  81  85  87  88  90  92  94  95  96  97
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   6   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   7
LVORI...........3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8
ADI.............15  4   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   4   4
VRate kt-ft/100014  8   4   3   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   3
Ceiling (hft)...110 110 100 50  40  29  17  14  10  8.0 7.0 5.0
Visibility (sm).9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   7   6   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Areas of fog in the morning.
                    Showers developing.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 14 mph increasing to 18 to 26
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (41200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................14 increasing to 40 late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........1.56 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........300 to 1000.
Visibility (SM).....1 to 4 miles.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........97  97  97  98  98  99  98  98  97  97  98  98
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  64  64  65  66  68  68  69  69  69  69  69
RH..............98  98  98  98  98  99  97  95  95  94  93  94
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   12  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   9   10  12  14  18  23  26
LVORI...........9   8   8   8   8   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
ADI.............4   6   6   8   8   13  16  19  24  32  41  48
VRate kt-ft/10002   2   2   4   5   9   12  15  20  27  35  41
Ceiling (hft)...4.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 10  10  10
Visibility (sm).5   5   4   4   2.7 2.0 1.6 1.6

$$
Forecaster...Harry Gerapetritis
Requested by...Nancy Blackwood
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2012681.0/GSP
.DELDT 09/16/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26



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