Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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271
FNUS72 KJAX 031945
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Buford Bay (45)...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
345 PM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms remain possible over the site trough
about the next 2 to 3 hours before beginning to wane. Some patchy
fog will be possible late tonight and into the early morning hours
Friday before dissipating. Flow will be slightly stronger overall
on Friday as a weak frontal boundary will be draped across
northeast FL. The northeast flow will allow the highest chances
for showers and t`storms to be earlier in the today as the sea
breeze moves inland quickly. Highest chances look to be from about
noon to 4 PM. Dispersion will be fair to good, though likely to
be affected more quickly in the afternoon by the earlier onset of
showers/t`storms.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  51
Weather cov.....LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60
Chc of thdr (%).50  60
Temp............88  87
RH..............66  68
Heat index (F)..95  92
20 FT wind dir..SE  E
20 FT wind spd..3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5
Dispersion idx..17  10
LVORI...........3   3

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52  53  69  67  58  51  48  35  33  29  38  42
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC SCH                             PTY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW                              FOG
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  30  20  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   10
Chc of thdr (%).60  70  20  20  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............86  84  81  79  76  75  75  73  73  73  73  72
RH..............70  74  82  88  97  100 97  100 100 100 100 100
Heat index (F)..91  90  86  77  76  75  74  74  73  72  72  72
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   3   2                       2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..7   5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   5   6   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  37  33  30  48  38  48  58  60  56  71  68
Weather cov.....PTY PTY             SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG             RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  30  30  60  60  50  40
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  20  30  30  60  60  50  50
Temp............72  72  75  78  82  85  86  87  87  86  86  85
RH..............100 100 100 94  82  75  72  68  68  70  68  70
Heat index (F)..72  72  74  77  89  95  98  96  96  95  94  92
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.2   2   3   3   6   9   9   10  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.8 4.5 4.2 3.9
Transp wind dir.W   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   10  12  13
Dispersion idx..2   2   5   10  18  25  32  35  38  56  57  59
LVORI...........10  10  9   6   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Dubois
Requested by...Mike Work
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517225.0/JAX
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.Work@FDACS.Gov,derick.bills@fdacs.gov