683
FNUS76 KMFR 140602
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Elder Creek...ODF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1102 PM PDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2300 PDT on July 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...There may be a stray shower over the next few hours,
but overall conditions will be dry overnight tonight. Hot, dry and
unstable conditions are expected Monday afternoon, with additional
chances (10-15%) of thunderstorms. Most shower/thunderstorm
activity should remain just to the south on Monday, but expect
plenty of cumulus buildups and gusty outflow winds if
showers/thunderstorms do develop nearby. Hot temperatures will
continue through much of the week with typical afternoon breezes.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of lightning.1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........53 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 2-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5-7 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance (15%) of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
                    Haze through the day.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........18 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast 3-5 mph through the afternoon, becoming north
                    and increasing to 5-7 mph with gusts to 15 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5 to 6 mph through the afternoon. Winds become
                    north and increase 8-10 mph with gusts 15-20 mph late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected with any
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Haze early in the
                    evening. Haze overnight.
Chance of lightning.11 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Eye level winds.....North 5-7 mph with gusts to 12 mph through the evening,
                    easing to 2-4 mph overnight.
Wind (20 ft)........North 8-10 mph with gusts to 15 mph through the evening,
                    easing to 5-7 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

$$
Forecaster...FIRMIN
Requested by...Rob Wood
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517951.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.h.wood@odf.oregon.gov,orlfc@firenet.gov