821
FNUS76 KMFR 270231
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for PENCIL...MODOC NF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
731 PM PDT Fri Jul 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 PDT on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather will continue into Saturday morning. A weak
disturbance will move towards the burn area and could provide enough
instability and moisture for an isolated thunderstorms northeast of the
burn area. Right now storms are not expected to be a concern over the
burn area. Expect gusty breezes again Saturday afternoon and evening with
near-critical conditions.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....86-88.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 6-11 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Eye level winds.....Southwest 4-7 mph.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Areas of smoke through the night.
Min temperature.....48-51.
Max humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 6-11 mph shifting to the south 3-5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Eye level winds.....Southwest 4-7 mph, becoming variable 1-3 mph.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy to areas of smoke.
Max temperature.....83-85.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 6-11 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Eye level winds.....Southwest 4-7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...PETRUCELLI
Requested by...MARK MAIN
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418956.4/MFR
.DELDT 07/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.main@usda.gov