172
FNUS73 KMKX 132311
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for Pine Island RX...WI DNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
611 PM CDT Thu Mar 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 CDT on March 13.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures in the lower 60s will fall into the mid-50s within
the next 2-3 hours. Correspondingly, RH values around 30 percent
will rise into the 50 to 60 percent range. Expecting southeasterly
winds between 10 and 15 mph through sunset, falling to 5 to 10
mph after sunset. Mixing heights around 1000 ft currently will
fall rapidly within the next two hours to around 500 ft. Smoke
dispersal values are expected to be poor through the overnight
hours, with the best dispersal values prior to sunset.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles early in the morning.
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Min 44.
RH..................33 percent at ignition...Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 6 to 7
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /11300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Min...poor
                    /6500 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........38  40  38  36  34  35  35  36  36  35  35  50
Weather cov.....                                            CHC
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  57  52  49  47  46  45  45  45  45  46  47
RH..............33  38  46  54  58  60  62  62  65  68  71  74
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  13  13  12  11  11  11  12  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  13  14  16  15  16  15  15  15  15  16  16
SDspl kt-ft/100011  7   7   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles early in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 75.
RH..................Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 33 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 23 mph increasing to 28 to 33 mph
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (104600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  48  49  49  50  49  47  46  39  31  24  29
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  49  51  54  59  63  67  70  72  74  75  75
RH..............77  83  83  80  69  62  56  53  48  43  41  41
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   10  11  12  13  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.14  16  18  19  21  22  23  25  26  26  26  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  17  17  18  23  28  30  31  32  33  32  32
SDspl kt-ft/10008   9   10  12  21  38  59  74  95  105 98  92

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Rain showers
                    with thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
                    rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 23 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the evening. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the evening.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 28 mph shifting to the south 24
                    to 32 mph late in the evening, then decreasing
                    to 15 to 23 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (65200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to fair (15400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  40  53  67  80  83  86  80  69  57  46  51
Weather cov.....                LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                LKY CHC CHC
Temp............72  69  67  65  63  61  58  54  53  52  52  52
RH..............46  51  56  60  67  70  67  77  80  83  80  77
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..11  9   10  11  11  10  10  9   9   9   9   10
20 FT wind gust.23  22  22  22  21  19  17  16  17  18  19  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.3 1.8 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.2
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.26  21  26  28  31  32  24  15  17  18  21  23
SDspl kt-ft/100045  23  39  47  61  65  37  15  16  16  16  24

$$
Forecaster...MH
Requested by...Scott Wilhorn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506475.0/MKX
.DELDT 03/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.wilhorn@wisconsin.gov