854
FNUS72 KTBW 251551
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for MCPB...Manatee County Government
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1151 AM EDT Thu Jul 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

.REST OF TODAY...
Abundant summertime moisture and warm temperatures will continue over
the area with scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.

Fog potential...No significant fog is expected for the next several
days.


Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1700, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....22 increasing to 33 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........38     31     36     41     46
Weather cov.....                     ISOLTD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     ISOLTD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     20     30
LAL.............1      1      1      2      3
Temp............83     89     90     90     90
RH..............84     71     65     63     64
20 ft wind......SE 10  SE 10  SE 9   S 9    SW 10
20 ft wind gust.13     12     10     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   2400   3500   3000   2200
Transport wind..SE 12  SE 9   SE 8   SE 8   SW 9
Dispersion idx..19     29     36     35     25
LVORI...........4      3      2      1      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    isolated showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2300, then 2 until 0200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 7 mph late in the evening, then shifting to
                    the east overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east around 8
                    mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....15 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........49     55     51     47     43     34
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).30     40     40     20     10     10
LAL.............3      3      3      2      1      1
Temp............88     87     84     83     82     81
RH..............67     72     77     81     85     89
20 ft wind......SW 9   W 7    N 6    NE 7   NE 7   E 7
20 ft wind gust.10     9      7      8      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   1600   1200   1200   1000   900
Transport wind..W 8    W 7    N 7    NE 7   E 9    E 8
Dispersion idx..18     6      3      5      7      4
LVORI...........3      3      5      5      5      6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 8 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the west
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 22 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........28     27     32     38     43     48
Weather cov.....                            SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      3      3
Temp............80     81     86     89     89     89
RH..............92     88     75     65     65     65
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 8   SE 7   S 7    SW 8   W 9
20 ft wind gust.10     10     8      8      9      12
Mix hgt (ft)....900    900    1600   2600   2400   2300
Transport wind..E 8    SE 9   SE 7   S 7    S 7    W 9
Dispersion idx..5      10     17     21     22     26
LVORI...........6      5      3      3      3      2

$$
Forecaster...RDavis
Requested by...mark Proch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2418885.2/TBW
.DELDT 07/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.proch@mymanatee.org