016
FNUS75 KTWC 270306
FWSTWC

Spot Forecast for Berry Fire...San Carlos
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
806 PM MST Fri Jul 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on July 26.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly cloudy overnight with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms after midnight. Chance of afternoon and evening showers
and thunderstorms will continue this weekend. Gusty and erratic winds
and locally heavy rainfall from thunderstorms.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms between 12 am and 2 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....69-72 degrees.
Max humidity........68-71 percent.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 knots.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....95-98 degrees.
Min humidity........26-29 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 knots.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent decreasing to 10 percent overnight.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....71-74 degrees.
Max humidity........57-60 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph with gusts to around
                    16 mph shifting to the east up to 5 mph
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL decreasing to 200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 9 knots shifting to the south
                    around 5 knots overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....93-96 degrees.
Min humidity........25-28 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 knots.

$$
Forecaster...FIRE WX FORECASTER
Requested by...Incident Commander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418981.4/TWC
.DELDT 07/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azphc@firenet.gov

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