651
FNUS75 KGJT 131654
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Turner Gulch...BLM
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1054 AM MDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry conditions continue with temperatures
trending 5 degrees above normal. Showers and thunderstorms will
develop on the terrain tomorrow afternoon. Wetting rains are not
expected, but gusty outflow winds will be a growing concern at the
fire. Very similar conditions are expected on Tuesday with a
slight uptick in the coverage of afternoon convection.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of smoke through
                    the day.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
Min humidity........6-11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph shifting to the west 15 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 13300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 14 mph shifting to the west 15 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Clearing Index......550 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
Max humidity........28-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to poor (8000 knot-ft)
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......13500 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North 13 mph shifting to the southeast 10 mph
                    overnight.
Clearing Index......1050 decreasing to 80 overnight.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and dry thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
Min humidity........8-13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 14500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 mph shifting to the west 17 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Clearing Index......470 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Kathryn Abbott
Requested by...Thad McKain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517912.0/GJT
.DELDT 07/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thadmckain@gmail.com