Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FNUS74 KOUN 242116
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for Sullivan Rd Fire...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Norman OK
416 PM CDT Sat Oct 24 2020

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on October 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures and relative humidity (RH) values are currently in
the low 50`s with light south-southeast winds. As temperatures fall
this evening/night, RH will increase. Winds will back to the
east-southeast and increase somewhat by Sunday morning. A strong cold
front then moves through the area on Sunday afternoon prompting a wind
shift to the north-northeast, with winds gusting to 15 to 20 mph. There
is a chance for drizzle and/or light rain on Sunday evening with rain
likely by Monday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      5 PM
Sky (%).........26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............55
RH..............57
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..6
20 FT wind gust.10
Mix hgt (ft)....2500
Transport wind..S 6
VRate ktft/1000.24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 10
                    mph early in the evening, then increasing to 15
                    to 21 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (26200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (9000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........26     0      2      2      5      10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............54     50     48     47     47     46
RH..............59     71     80     86     86     89
20 FT wind dir..SE     SE     E      SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..7      8      8      9      10     10
20 FT wind gust.10     10     12     12     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   400    500    500    700    700
Transport wind..SE 15  SE 9   SE 15  SE 21  SE 20  SE 21
VRate ktft/1000.26     23     16     10     9      11

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 21 mph shifting to the
                    east 8 to 9 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the northeast 10 to
                    13 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph decreasing to 15 to 18
                    mph in the morning, then decreasing to 6 to 9
                    mph late in the morning shifting to the
                    northeast 15 to 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (13000 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........10        23        50        50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............46        50        63        68
RH..............93        89        67        61
20 FT wind dir..SE        SE        SE        NE
20 FT wind spd..10        10        8         10
20 FT wind gust.13        13        10        13
Mix hgt (ft)....800       900       2100      2800
Transport wind..SE 20     SE 15     SE 9      E 8
VRate ktft/1000.13        14        17        23

$$
Forecaster...THOMPSON
Requested by...Belinda Jackson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2014003.0/OUN
.DELDT 10/24/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu


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