Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pittsburgh, PA

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FNUS71 KPBZ 171644
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for Minister Creek...Allegheny National Forest
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1244 PM EDT Sat Oct 17 2020

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (412) 262-1485, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.Discussion...
Dry conditions will continue through the day on Sunday.
Wind picks up Sunday with gusts possibly eclipsing 20 mph. No
wetting rain is forecast through the weekend.

&&

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   7   9   10  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  53  53  54  53
RH..............38  36  34  34  34
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...6.6 6.7 6.3 5.5 4.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.17  16  16  15  14
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after 3
                    am, then becoming light early in the morning.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  15  16  26  35  45  54  64  73  73  72  72
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  46  43  40  39  38  39  39  39  40  40  40
RH..............39  49  57  63  63  64  61  61  60  60  61  61
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.10  6   6   6   7   7   7   8   10  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  6   3   3   5   7   8   8   9   10  10  10
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusts up to 20 mph early in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to 21 to 24 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........71  70  70  71  71  72  73  73  74  74  73  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  39  39  43  48  51  54  56  57  58  58  58
RH..............64  65  67  63  56  51  46  44  42  42  42  43
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  13  14  14  16  16  16  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   10  13  15  17  18  21  22  23  24
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...MPK
Requested by...Joesph Gomola
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2013718.0/PBZ
.DELDT 10/17/20
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL pamacc@firenet.gov



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