Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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Spot Forecast for Kicken draw...Fws
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
624 PM MDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Discussion...Thunderstorms will be possible late this evening through the
overnight hours across southern Campbell County. Some storms may
have variable and gusty winds, and perhaps wetting rains. Winds
overnight will become light and variable, being influenced by any
storms passing nearby. Most storms will be possible late Tuesday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East  to southeast winds around 5 to 10 mph,
                    becoming light and variable overnight. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 20 to 25 mph early in the evening,
                    then shifting to the southwest overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  55  58  74  75  69  51  51  40  33  49  42
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............88  85  80  76  73  70  69  67  66  64  62  61
RH..............26  32  41  47  52  55  59  63  65  67  75  75
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   NE  E   E   NE  E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  13  13  14  13  13  13  12  10  10  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...7.1 3.7 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  N   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.13  15  17  20  22  23  23  18  13  9   10  13

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph shifting to the northeast with
                    gusts to around 25 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................25 percent.
Mixing height.......3800 to 4300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 25 mph shifting to the northeast
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  38  43  44  52  48  39  35  47  41  35  24
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............59  63  65  67  70  71  73  75  75  76  75  75
RH..............83  78  78  75  71  71  68  62  62  62  62  62
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..7   9   12  14  15  16  16  16  16  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.13  15  18  20  22  23  24  25  24  24  23  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.1 3.9
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.16  18  21  22  23  24  24  24  24  23  23  22

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night. Rain showers likely
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    east after 3 am. Gusts up to 20 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
CWR.................70 percent.
Mixing height.......1300 to 1800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 20 to 25 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25  59  82  90  91  91  91  92  93  94  93  91
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Temp............74  71  68  63  61  60  59  58  58  58  57  57
RH..............66  73  81  93  97  96  100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..14  13  12  12  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.21  20  20  20  18  16  15  14  14  14  14  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.0 2.3 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.21  21  22  22  21  20  18  17  17  16  17  18

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 21
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    any thunderstorms.
CWR.................60 percent.
Mixing height.......3200 to 3700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph shifting to the north in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  91  92  93  90  88  85  81  78  74  71  68
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
Temp............57  58  59  60  61  62  63  64  65  65  65  64
RH..............100 100 96  96  93  90  87  81  78  75  75  75
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   NE  N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  13  13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.15  15  16  16  17  17  18  20  21  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  18  17  16  16  17  18  18  20  20  20  20

$$
Forecaster...AC
Requested by...Eric C Mark
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518013.0/UNR
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL eric_mark@fws.gov