Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
296 FXUS65 KREV 112042 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 142 PM PDT Sat May 11 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Above average temperatures continue through next week. Meanwhile, low chances for showers and thunderstorms return to the Sierra from Sunday through Tuesday. Otherwise, conditions will be warm and dry for the region. && .DISCUSSION... Warm weather will be the main topic for this week. The warm trend continues this weekend as an upper ridge settles over the West Coast and slowly moves inland. Temperatures this afternoon will be up to the upper 70s and around 80 in western NV valleys and the 70s for the Sierra. Similar conditions are expected tomorrow with afternoon highs increasing a few more degrees with temps in the low to mid-80s for western NV and 70s in the Sierra. Overall temperatures will be 10-15 degrees above normal for mid-May through most of the week. The best chances for reaching our first 90 degree day is on Thursday. However, the probability is 20% or less for Reno, while portions of northern Washoe, Churchill and Pershing have a 20-40% of reaching 90F. Temperatures appear to decrease starting next weekend as models suggest a more zonal pattern in the region as the ridge is pushed south by storm systems in the Pac NW. Although it is uncertain how warm will it be as there is some spread among the ensemble data. Showers and thunderstorms are also in the forecast from tomorrow through Tuesday. Storms will be mostly restricted to the Sierra favoring areas south of I-80 down to Mono County. The best chances are on Monday when POPs are up to 20%. Any storm is capable of producing lightning, brief periods of heavy rain, gusty winds and small hail. Otherwise, the rest of the area should be generally dry through the rest of the week. -Crespo && .AVIATION... VFR conditions continue through the period. Winds will be generally from the north and northeast between 5-10 kts this afternoon, then tomorrow afternoon become from the west between 10-15 kts. Generally light winds prevail during the overnight and morning hours. Low chances for showers and thunderstorms return tomorrow afternoon for the Sierra. Potential for precipitation and storms persist each afternoon through Tuesday. -Crespo && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$