Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
858 FNUS74 KMOB 061115 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Chick 447;,448...USFS National Weather Service Mobile AL 615 AM CDT Mon May 6 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 06. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon at the burn site. Generally good dispersion levels are anticipated this afternoon and good on Tuesday. Southerly transport winds will continue through the forecast period. Relative humidity levels should remain above critical thresholds through Tuesday as well. Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog will continue this morning and may be locally dense at times before 9 am. Fog should quickly mix out before redeveloping again late tonight into Tuesday morning. Not expecting dense fog Tuesday morning as winds should be a bit stronger keeping the lower atmosphere mixed enough to preclude dense fog. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers late in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........52 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...975-1311 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 14 to 16 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....47 increasing to 57 late in the morning, then decreasing to 49 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............2. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........62 61 61 60 64 67 71 68 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............83 86 88 89 89 89 89 89 RH..............67 61 55 52 52 52 52 52 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.12 13 15 16 16 17 17 16 Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.1 3.2 3.6 3.6 Mix hgt (km)....1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.1 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 Dispersion idx..47 57 61 61 55 52 49 49 LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 69. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1097 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....49 decreasing to 10. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........64 61 56 51 46 52 58 64 69 73 78 73 Weather cov.....CHC Weather type....RW Tstm cov........CHC Chc of pcpn (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............86 82 78 76 74 73 72 72 70 69 70 70 RH..............55 63 71 79 84 87 93 93 100 100 97 100 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.16 15 15 14 14 13 13 12 10 10 9 9 Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.15 14 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 10 9 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..49 13 11 11 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7 LVORI...........1 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 89. Min humidity........56 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1311 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second. Dispersion index....9 increasing to 28 early in the morning, then increasing to 47 late in the morning increasing to 62 late in the morning decreasing to 56. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........68 63 64 64 65 58 51 44 43 42 41 41 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............69 70 73 78 81 85 88 89 89 88 88 86 RH..............100 100 90 79 72 63 57 56 56 57 57 61 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13 20 FT wind gust.9 9 12 14 16 18 20 22 22 22 22 22 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.3 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.9 Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW S S S Transp wind spd.12 10 13 15 16 16 16 17 17 16 16 16 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW S S S Trans spd (m/s).5 4 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 7 7 7 Dispersion idx..7 11 28 44 49 57 62 66 64 60 56 56 LVORI...........8 7 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Jonathan Howell (31) Requested by...Rodney Landrum Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413237.0/MOB .DELDT 05/06/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Rodney.landrum@usda.gov