Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS21 KWNS 210650

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0150 AM CDT Sat Apr 21 2018

Valid 211200Z - 221200Z

An upper low over the southern/central Rockies early this morning
will continue eastward across the southern/central Plains today,
with enhanced mid-level winds confined to mainly parts of the
southern Plains. A weak surface low will develop from west TX to
north-central TX through this evening as a trailing cold front moves
eastward across the TX Hill Country and Edwards Plateau. A
secondary, reinforcing cold front attendant to this low will move
southward across the southern High Plains through the period.

...Portions of Far Southern NM to the Edwards Plateau of TX...
Behind the initial cold front passage but ahead of the reinforcing
cold front, elevated conditions are expected this afternoon for
parts of far southern NM into west TX, including the Edwards Plateau
region. Sustained winds of 15-20 mph will become common along with
RH values lowered into generally the 10-20% range given the
antecedent dry low-level airmass. Very isolated thunderstorms
developed across far west TX yesterday into early this morning. Per
MRMS gauge-corrected precipitation estimates, the spotty and
generally light rainfall associated with this convection should not
greatly reduce fuel receptiveness across a vast majority of the
elevated delineation. The lack of even stronger forecast winds
continues to preclude the introduction of a critical area.

..Gleason.. 04/21/2018

...Please see for graphic product...

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