Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 151401
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Unit 3 Piles...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
901 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2019

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and muggy today with south winds around 15 mph with a few
gusts over 20 mph possible this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Temperature.........80 at ignition...Max 88.
RH..................82 percent at ignition...Min 59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 14 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds 14 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 22 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  58  54  50  48  47  45  43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............80  81  82  83  85  86  88  88
RH..............82  79  79  77  70  65  59  59
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..14  15  15  14  14  15  16  16
20 FT wind gust.18  21  21  18  18  21  26  24
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.6 3.0 3.8 3.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.24  23  23  22  24  24  25  25
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the evening.
Temperature.........Min 70.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 24 mph shifting to the southwest 13
                    to 15 mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........40     37     37     46     56     67
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Temp............87     83     77     75     73     71
RH..............61     67     82     84     87     90
20 ft wind......S 15   S 13   S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9
20 ft wind gust.23     22     21     20     17     15
Mix hgt (ft)....3400   500    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 24   S 16   S 15   S 13   S 13   S 14
Haines index....4      M      M      M      M      M

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Temperature.........Max 87.
RH..................Min 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph shifting to the north
                    around 12 mph early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the southeast around 10 mph early
                    in the morning shifting to the southwest around
                    12 mph late in the morning shifting to the
                    north shifting to the south 7 to 10 mph late in
                    the morning.
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........69        72        68        65
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Temp............70        76        82        86
RH..............93        82        72        65
20 FT wind......S 9G14    S 9G15    SW 9G15   SW 7G13
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1100      1700      2300
Transport wind..SW 14     SW 12     SW 7      S 9
Haines index....M         M         M         M

$$
Forecaster...Podrazik
Requested by...Trever Elg
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1912264.0/DMX
.DELDT 07/15/19
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL trever_elg@fws.gov


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