Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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AXUS74 KCRP 152122 CCA

Drought Information Statement...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
322 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2020



January 2020 came in as a dry month, with nearly less than 20
percent of normal rainfall for the month. Nearly 1/2 inch of rain
fell across the Victoria Crossroads and northern Coastal Bend,
which led to some improvement in the drought conditions across
those areas. Conversely, less than 1/4 inch fell across areas
generally west of Highway 281, with drought conditions worsening.
Much of the Coastal Bend has either no drought or is Abnormally
Dry (D0). Areas generally west and north of a line from
Hebbronville to San Diego to Goliad to Victoria are in Moderate
Drought (D2). Severe Drought (D3) can be found in extreme eastern
Victoria County, northern portions of both Bee and Live Oak
Counties, southern and extreme western tip of Webb County, and the
northern 2/3rds of La Salle County into northern McMullen County.



Best practices for Water Conservation:
1. Only water landscapes to maintain adequate soil moisture.
2. Only water lawn if rainfall has not fallen in 1-2 weeks.
3. Use a sprinkler which makes larger water droplets.
4. Turn sprinklers toward the lawn and not the pavement.
5. Avoid watering on windy days.
6. Turn soaker hoses holes downward, facing the grass.

CORPUS CHRISTI - No restrictions.
http://www.cctexas.com/conservation http://portlandtx.com

The city of Corpus Christi draws its water from both Lake Corpus
Christi and Choke Canyon Reservoir. When the combined water
capacity of both of these reservoirs falls below 40%, Stage 1 in
water restrictions begin. The current combination capacity as of
February 12, 2020 is 52.3%.

VICTORIA - No restrictions.

The city of Victoria draws its water from the Guadalupe River as
well as Canyon Lake upstream along the Guadalupe River. When the
Victoria USGS (United States Geological Survey) river gauge on the
Guadalupe falls below normal, Stage 1 in water restrictions

LAREDO - No restrictions.

The city of Laredo draws its water from the Amistad Reservoir
located along the Rio Grande. When the water capacity of the
reservoir reaches and falls below 51%, Stage 1 in water
restrictions begin. The current capacity as of February 12, 2020
is 73.0%.

For other public water systems (PWS) which may have water use
limits for the locals:

Locations that do not currently have mandatory restrictions
continue to strongly promote year-round water conservation.


As of February 11, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) analyzes
the percent of available soil moisture as below normal across
South Texas. The available soil moisture ranges from 1 to 10
percent of normal from west to east respectively across South


Texas Crop and Weather Report from Texas A&M AgriLife as of:
January 28, 2019

Coastal Bend Region:
-Pasture growth stimulated by rain and fair weather that
-Hay supplies were tighter than normal.
-Producers continue to feed supplements of protein and hay.

South Region:
-Mild weather conditions reported with very short to adequate
 soil moisture levels.
-Hay being fed to cattle in large amounts.
-Pasture and rangeland conditions poor.
-Livestock supplemental feeding continues.
-Some ranchers reducing herds.


Fire Danger Map - February 12, 2019
According to the latest Observed Fire Danger Map from the Texas
Interagency Coordination Center (TICC), LOW fire danger covers
most of South Texas, while MODERATE fire danger covers southern
Webb County eastward across Duval, Jim Wells, Kleberg, and Nueces

Keetch-Bryam Drought Index (KBDI)
KBDI is an index used to determine forest fire potential, which
is based on a daily water balance considering precipitation and
soil moisture. The KBDI can range from 0 to 800, where a value of
0 represents no moisture depletion, and 800 would be
representative of absolutely dry conditions. A KBDI between 600
and 800 is often associated with severe drought and increased
wildfire potential.

The following table lists the KDBI for counties across the region
as of FEB 12, 2020.

200-300  300-400      400-500   500-600  600-700
Aransas  Kleberg      Goliad    Bee      La Salle
Calhoun  Nueces       Jim Wells Duval    Webb
Refugio  San Patricio Victoria  Live Oak

Burn Bans
Texas Forest Service Burn Ban Map - February 12, 2020
County-wide burn bans across South Texas

Duval              Aransas
Kleberg            Bee
La Salle           Calhoun
Live Oak           Goliad
Nueces             Jim Wells
                   San Patricio


Climate Prediction Center - February 3, 2019
ENSO (El-Nino/Southern Oscillation)
Alert System Status: Not Active

ENSO-Neutral conditions present. Equatorial sea surface
temperatures (SSTs) are near-to-above average across the Pacific
Ocean. ENSO-Neutral is favored during the Northern Hemisphere
spring 2020 (~60%) continuing through summer 2020 (~50%).

South Texas Summary - January 1, 2020

The new year started off wet with light to moderate rain due to a
coastal trough and mid-level support. Exiting of the mid-level
trough and the passage of a weak front ended rain chances January
3rd. Roughly 1/4 to 1/2 inch of rain fell across most of South
Texas, with the exception of La Salle and western Webb Counties.
Spotty rain then developed by January 9 ahead of the next front to
move through South Texas late on January 10 into the morning
hours of January 11. Most of the shower and thunderstorm activity
again covered the Coastal Plains region, with nearly 1/4 inch of
rainfall generally east of I-37, and spotty amounts of near 1/2
inch between Goliad and Victoria. West of I-37, rainfall amounts
averaged less that 1/10 inch, with areas generally south of
Highway 44 having received little to no rain. Another round of
spotty activity occurred between January 13 through January 18,
ahead of the next front to move through during the afternoon hours
of January 18. Again, most of the shower and thunderstorm
activity occurred across the east, mainly over the coastal
counties. Most of Calhoun County along with portions of Aransas
and Refugio Counties came out the winners with nearly 1 to 3
inches of rain. Elsewhere, less than 1/4 inch of rain was
observed. Mid-level energy in the form of a trough then swung
across Texas on January 22 and January 23. This led to scattered
showers across South Texas. The heaviest rain fell across areas
generally east of I-37 with 1/2 to 1 inch of rain. West of I-37,
less than 1/4 inch of rain was observed. A weak coastal trough
formed on January 25 and a weak front moved through on January 29
to lead to isolated light showers through the end of the month.
The majority of the rain fell across the Victoria Crossroads
region, with 1/4 to 1/2 of rain.

Overall, areas generally east of I-37 received nearly 1/2 inch of
rain, with isolated amounts to near 1.5 inches of rain. Areas west
of I-37 with the exception of Webb and La Salle Counties received
up to 1/4 inch of rain. Webb and La Salle Counties received a few
hundredths of an inch. These totals averaged 1 to 2 inches below
normal rainfall for the month of January. That translates to
roughly to 15 to 20 percent of normal rainfall, with Webb and La
Salle Counties generally west of I-35 having received less than 5
percent of normal rainfall.

The following table through the month of January shows:
- Monthly rainfall totals (deficits/surplus) in inches
- Year-to-date rainfall (deficits/surplus) for 2020 in inches
- Average monthly temps (departure from normal) in degrees F

                   DECEMBER          2020         JAN AVG TEMPS
CORPUS CHRISTI   0.80 (-0.74)     0.80 (-0.74)    62.6 ( 5.5)
VICTORIA         2.78 ( 0.26)     2.78 ( 0.26)    60.1 ( 6.2)
LAREDO           0.31 (-0.59)     0.31 (-0.59)    62.5 ( 6.0)


Local forecast through the next 7 days (FEB 13 - FEB 19):
Cool temperatures in store in wake of a cold front February 13
and 14. Temperatures will begin to warm and rain chances will
begin to increase on February 15 as a weak coastal trough begins
to develop. Rain chances will continue through February 19 as the
next cold front approaches South Texas.

CPC outlook for days 8-14 (FEB 20 - FEB 26):
Below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation expected
for all of South Texas.

CPC outlook for 1 month (FEB):
Above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation.

CPC outlook for 3 months (FEB - APR):
Above normal temperatures and equal chances for above, below, and
near normal precipitation.

Monthly Drought Outlook (DEC):
Drought conditions expected to persist, especially across the
western Brush Country.

Seasonal Drought Outlook (JAN 16 - APR 30):
Some drought removal is likely.


USGS Streamflow Map - February 12, 2020.
Near to above normal streamflow for about half of the river sites
across the coastal region. Below normal flow along Garcitas Creek
near Inez, Placedo Creek near Placedo, Perdido Creek near Fannin,
Mission River at Refugio, and Nueces River at Mathis and Three
Rivers. Much below normal flow along Coleto Creek near Schroeder,
Atascosa River at Whitsett, and the Nueces River at Tilden.

The following table shows the current reservoir levels as of
February 1, 2019:

Reservoir           Normal Pool   Current Pool    % of Capacity
Choke Canyon          220.5 FT       202.6 FT         44.7%
Lake Corpus Christi    94.0 FT        90.4 FT         73.8%
Lake Texana            44.0 FT        38.9 FT         72.8%
Coleto Creek           98.0 FT        94.4 FT          N/A
Canyon Lake*          909.0 FT       906.0 FT          N/A
Lake Amistad**       1117.0 FT      1086.2 FT          N/A

* Supplies the city of Victoria
** Along Rio Grande, upstream of Laredo

Combined             Current Pool %   Last Year %   Difference
Choke Canyon/Lake CC     52.8%           67.6%        -14.8%

Reservoirs continue to lower due to water usage. Climate outlooks
call for cooler and wetter conditions through the end of
February. Hopefully, some beneficial rainfall will occur across
the watersheds, otherwise, we will continue to see the water
levels to drop within the reservoirs.


The next Drought Information Statement will be issued on or near
March 10, 2020. If drought conditions worsen, an update may be
provided at an earlier date.



Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS):

U.S. Drought Monitor:

U.S. Drought Portal:

Texas Water Development Board Drought Website:

Texas A&M AgriLife Crop and Weather Reports:

Texas Burn Bans:

Texas KBDI:

Texas Observed and Forecast Fire Danger:

Additional River Information:
USGS: http://water.usgs.gov
IBWC: http://ibwc.gov

The drought monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the
National Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental
Information, the USDA, state and regional center climatologists
and the National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for
this statement has been gathered from NWS and FAA
observation sites, state cooperative extension services,

If you have any questions of comments about this drought
information statement, please contact...
National Weather Service
426 Pinson Drive
Corpus Christi TX 78406
Phone: 361-289-0959


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