Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
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728 FXUS61 KBGM 090736 AFDBGM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 336 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Cooler weather is expected today following the passage of a cold front. A batch of rain is expected later today into Friday. Additional on-and-off showers are anticipated for this weekend right into next week, along with below normal temperatures. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... 335 AM Update: Following the passage of a cold front, a northerly flow will bring considerably cooler weather today along with mostly cloudy skies, with perhaps a few breaks of sun. After 70s and 80s for high temperatures yesterday, today`s highs will be a few degrees below normal for this time of the year with upper 50s to mid 60s present. Model guidance continues the slower onset of rain showers later today with an approaching trough, with any rain showers likely holding off at least until the late afternoon and most likely until this evening. The aforementioned trough and surface low south of the region will move through the area tonight through Friday. As a result, coverage of rain showers will be increasing as this evening progresses, becoming widespread/steadier by around midnight and through Friday. With the cool airmass in place combined with the rain-cooled air, high temperatures on Friday will be quite chilly for this time of the year; mainly in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Rainfall rates should remain on the lighter side, perhaps becoming moderate at times. Rainfall totals tonight through Friday will range from around an inch across parts of the Twin Tiers to between 0.50" and 0.75" for most of the rest of the area. Lowest amounts should be north of the NY Thruway corridor, where amounts should be less than 0.50". Since this will occur over a longer period of time, rather than all at once, combined with green-up underway or complete across most of the area, flooding is not a concern with this system. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... 240 PM Update: Friday will be the coldest day of the week as a shortwave trough moves into the region, towing in a cold air mass with it. General rain showers can be expected for Friday, with high temperatures in the low-50s. Going into the weekend, the shortwave trough continues moving east into the region, with rain showers expected and chances of afternoon thunderstorms possible. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... 240 PM Update: After the aforementioned shortwave trough pushes east and out of the region Sunday night, we`ll see a slight warming trend heading into the first half of the week, with temperatures potentially in the low to mid 70s by Wednesday. Conditions will be showery through the week, with chances for thunderstorms during the late afternoon into evening hours. && .AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Post-frontal ceiling restrictions are expected this morning; mainly MVFR to Fuel Alternate. Ceilings will return to VFR by mid-morning, and likely remain that way through the remainder of the TAF period (at least through 06Z Friday). Rain showers move in from south to north this evening, but conditions are currently expected to remain VFR. Outlook... Friday...Rain and restrictions likely Friday. Friday night through Monday...Periods of showers with intermittent restrictions as multiple disturbances pass through the region. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...BJG NEAR TERM...BJG SHORT TERM...KL LONG TERM...KL AVIATION...BJG