Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
647 FNUS74 KEPZ 032318 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Blue front...LINCOLN NATIONAL FOREST National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 321 PM MST Sun Nov 3 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MST on November 03. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... An approaching upper level storm system will bring breezy winds and a good chance for snow showers to the area tonight. Snowfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches through Monday afternoon will be possible. We will be dry and cool on Tuesday before another storm system brings a chance for rain and snow on Thursday. Min RH`s on Monday will be very high at 70 to 90%, but a little drier for Wednesday and Thursday with min RH`s of 30 to 50%. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of snow showers early in the evening, then snow showers likely late in the evening. Chance of snow showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 23. Max humidity........96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 16 to 18 mph. Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........61 68 77 89 Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).50 60 40 40 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............31 30 30 29 RH..............85 88 92 88 20 FT wind......SW 18G32 SW 16G30 SW 16G31 SW 18G32 Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 Transport wind..SW 20 SW 20 SW 20 SW 24 Haines index....2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..8 8 0 0 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Snow showers likely in the morning and early afternoon, then slight chance of snow showers late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 27. Min humidity........88 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 14 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 12 to 13 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 32 mph. Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 19 to 22 mph shifting to the northwest around 15 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........87 87 87 81 81 81 87 87 87 83 83 83 Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH Weather type....SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 60 70 70 70 70 70 70 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............26 25 24 26 24 24 25 24 24 24 23 23 RH..............92 92 92 88 100 96 100 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..17 17 17 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12 20 FT wind gust.32 32 32 26 26 26 24 24 24 23 23 23 Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.22 22 22 22 19 19 19 19 15 15 15 15 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 22. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 8 mph shifting to the west 5 to 7 mph in the late evening and overnight. Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 8 to 10 mph shifting to the west around 11 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft). Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........43 43 43 26 26 26 14 14 14 13 13 13 Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE Weather type.... Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............23 23 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 23 23 23 RH..............100 96 92 88 88 88 88 81 81 81 77 77 20 FT wind dir..N N N W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.18 18 18 12 12 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N W W W W Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 33. Min humidity........44 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......0 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 14 to 18 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0 knot-ft). Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........6 6 6 3 3 3 4 4 4 7 7 7 Weather cov.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE Weather type.... Tstm cov........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............23 24 25 27 29 30 31 32 32 31 30 29 RH..............77 74 71 65 58 55 53 51 51 53 55 55 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.17 17 17 20 20 20 20 20 20 17 17 17 Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.14 14 14 14 18 18 18 18 14 14 14 14 Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds around 12 mph. .THURSDAY... Snow showers likely. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 20s. Southeast winds around 14 mph. .FRIDAY... Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 20s. South winds around 10 mph. $$ Forecaster...BRICE Requested by...Roy Hough Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2425637.0/EPZ .DELDT 11/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL errick.kimbrell@usda.gov,rhoughtrees@gmail.com