River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 180129
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA
0926 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.14 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER ATTN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     4.1/     3.9/     3.8/     3.7
.E2 :1019:/     3.7/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E3 :1020:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.30 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER BTVN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     2.4/     2.6/     2.8/     2.9
.E2 :1019:/     2.9/     2.8/     2.7/     2.6
.E3 :1020:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.59 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER RAPN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6/     1.7
.E2 :1019:/     1.8/     1.9/     2.0/     2.1
.E3 :1020:/     2.2/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.95 ft at Oct-17 08:15 pm
:
.ER GOWN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.8/     2.6
.E2 :1019:/     2.3/     2.2/     2.0/     1.9
.E3 :1020:/     1.8/     1.7/     1.7/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.59 ft at Oct-17 08:15 pm
:
.ER GDVN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     1.9/     1.7/     1.6/     1.3
.E2 :1019:/     1.2/     1.1/     1.0/     1.0
.E3 :1020:/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.93 ft at Oct-17 08:30 pm
:
.ER LCSN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     5.2/     4.7/     4.6/     4.3
.E2 :1019:/     4.1/     4.0/     3.8/     3.7
.E3 :1020:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.78 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER EBZN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2/     3.0
.E2 :1019:/     2.8/     2.7/     2.6/     2.5
.E3 :1020:/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.52 ft at Oct-17 09:15 pm
:
.ER WILN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     2.6/     2.7/     2.8/     2.7
.E2 :1019:/     2.6/     2.4/     2.3/     2.2
.E3 :1020:/     2.1/     2.0/     2.0/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.63 ft at Oct-17 08:45 pm
:
.ER WLLN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     4.6/     4.6/     4.5/     4.5
.E2 :1019:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :1020:/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.20 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER PRTN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     9.4/     9.5/     9.4/     9.3
.E2 :1019:/     9.0/     9.0/     9.0/     9.0
.E3 :1020:/     8.9/     8.9/     8.9/     8.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 591.81 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/   591.7/   591.7/   591.7/   591.7
.E2 :1019:/   591.7/   591.7/   591.7/   591.7
.E3 :1020:/   591.7/   591.7/   591.7/   591.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 16.83 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER AVON6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/    16.5/    16.1/    16.1/    16.3
.E2 :1019:/    16.5/    16.7/    16.7/    16.5
.E3 :1020:/    16.3/    16.0/    15.8/    15.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.43 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER GRBN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.6/     2.6
.E2 :1019:/     2.6/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :1020:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.6/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.89 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER CHRN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1019:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.8/     1.7
.E3 :1020:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:
.ER RHRN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     6.2/     6.1/     6.1/     6.0
.E2 :1019:/     6.0/     6.0/     6.0/     6.0
.E3 :1020:/     6.0/     5.9/     5.8/     5.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 6.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.17 ft at Oct-17 08:30 pm
:
.ER HNYN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.4/     3.3
.E2 :1019:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.1/     3.1
.E3 :1020:/     3.1/     3.1/     3.0/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 687.70 ft at Oct-17 09:15 pm
:
.ER CNDN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7
.E2 :1019:/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7/   687.7
.E3 :1020:/   687.7/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.50 ft at Oct-17 08:30 pm
:
.ER CPNN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     3.6/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8
.E2 :1019:/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8
.E3 :1020:/     3.8/     3.8/     3.7/     3.7
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.23 ft at Oct-17 09:00 pm
:
.ER BOON6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     8.4/     8.3/     8.0/     7.6
.E2 :1019:/     7.2/     6.8/     6.5/     6.2
.E3 :1020:/     6.0/     5.9/     5.8/     5.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.96 ft at Oct-17 08:30 pm
:
.ER MCKN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/    10.3/     9.7/     9.1/     8.5
.E2 :1019:/     8.0/     7.6/     7.2/     6.8
.E3 :1020:/     6.5/     6.2/     6.0/     5.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.49 ft at Oct-17 08:30 pm
:Crest 8.74 at Oct-20 8am
:
.ER ARTN6 20191018 E DC201910172125/DH02/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1018:/     6.2/     6.9/     7.4/     7.6
.E2 :1019:/     7.8/     7.9/     8.0/     8.2
.E3 :1020:/     8.5/     8.7/     8.7/     8.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE


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