Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 181122
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
622 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019

.Discussion...
Issued at 329 AM CDT THU APR 18 2019

Message of the day: Showers will continue exiting the area this
morning, with pretty nice spring weather expected for the next
few days.

The cold front has pushed through the area, dropping temperatures in
the 40s and low 50s this morning. The upper level trough
providing the support for last night`s storms will slowly push
through the Midwest today, helping us hang on to some of the cloud
cover. This and the cold air advection behind the cold front will
keep temperatures this afternoon in the 50s to low 60s. Patchy
light rain is also possible in the afternoon hours today, mainly
in northwest MO and northeast KS, as the main upper level trough
and an 850 mb temperature gradient moves through.

Friday and Saturday, ridging will move into the central U.S. This
will give us clear skies with temperatures in the 60s on Friday and
70s on Saturday. Temperatures Sunday will also be in the 70s, but
cloud cover will start moving into the area as a surface low and
upper level shortwave trough begin to approach the region. These
features will also bring shower and storm chances back to the area
Sunday night. Rain chances will then stick around through the
beginning of next week as the GFS and ECMWF both depict the cold
front stalling across MO and KS with multiple shortwave troughs
moving through the Midwest.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 622 AM CDT THU APR 18 2019

A couple of hours of MVFR ceilings are expected at the beginning
of the TAF period, before we return to VFR ceilings. Breezy
conditions are already being observed at many sites, and these
conditions are expected to continue through sunset as the low
pressure from yesterday slowly moves east. We could see some
patchy light showers this afternoon, mainly in northwest MO and
northeast KS. Tonight, high pressure will begin to move into the
area, helping clear skies.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Grana
Aviation...Grana



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