Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FXUS65 KGJT 190524

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1124 PM MDT Sun Aug 18 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 147 PM MDT Sun Aug 18 2019

Critical fire weather conditions will continue over much of the
Colorado northwest plateau this evening due to strong winds, low
humidity and dry fuels. These conditions will subside during the
early evening. For the next 48 hours southwest winds aloft will
remain as high pressure consolidated over Texas and low pressure
develops off the west coast. Dry and hot conditions will continue.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 147 PM MDT Sun Aug 18 2019

Dry southwest flow aloft will continue through midweek. On
Wednesday monsoon moisture will flow north along the western
periphery of the Texas ridge and affect mainly eastern CO and the
mountains of the Continental Divide. This set up will persist
through Saturday when a stronger trough move from the northern
Rockies into the central and high plains. This will turn the winds
aloft to northwesterly, which will in turn drive the monsoonal
plume further east and south.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1121 PM MDT Sun Aug 18 2019

VFR conditions are expected through Monday with mostly clear
skies. Breezy gusts are expected at all TAF sites by 18Z before
diminishing during the evening hours.


Issued at 801 PM MDT Sun Aug 18 2019

Winds have diminished over the area. Therefore, the Red Flag
Warning has been allowed to expire.

Dry and hot weather is expected to continue through much of the
coming week, with moisture slowly returning mid to late week. This
will lead to afternoon storms over the western Colorado high
terrain, producing more wind than rain.




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