Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 222202

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
302 PM PDT Thu Aug 22 2019

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure returns to the region on Friday. Breezy
conditions are expected Saturday and Sunday afternoons as a cool
front sags into northern Nevada by Sunday. Dry conditions prevail
for the next several days.


.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday.
A broken band of clouds covered the region this morning, but
clearing trend has been underway as the amplified trough axis has
moved into Utah. Clear tonight and sunny Friday as elongated
offshore ridge expands into northern Nevada. Gradient flow
increases Saturday as a low amplitude but broad trough moves into
the British Columbia and Pacific Northwest region. Northern Nevada
is on the southern periphery of the main westerlies, meaning
breezy conditions will form Saturday afternoon. Temperatures turn
warmer during the next two days as higher pressure builds over the

.LONG TERM...Saturday night through Thursday.
The long wave pattern favors ridge encompassing much of the
southwest US through the period. There is a possibility that some
mid level moisture seeps into eastern Nevada as weak monsoonal
flow returns briefly late next week. Ridge will need to return to
the Four Corners region late next week for this occur. Maybe
tropical storm Ivo manages to do this, but the overall pattern
stays warm and dry for the next several days.


Local gusts to 25 kts will occur through 02Z, with lighter
breezes expected on Friday. Near SKC conditions with excellent
visibilities are expected through the period.

Note: KBAM AMD NOT SKED due to missing clouds/cigs.


Conditions approach critical thresholds on Saturday and Sunday as
gradient flow increases over the northern areas. Surface cold
front approaches the northern border Saturday afternoon, then sags
into northern Nevada Sunday morning. Gusty winds in the 25-30 mph
range will occur, but not exceeding the thresholds that warrants a
Fire Weather Watch at this stage.




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