331
FXUS66 KLOX 160400
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
900 PM PDT Tue Jul 15 2025

.SYNOPSIS...15/740 PM.

Night through morning low clouds and patchy fog will continue for
the coasts and most valleys through much of this week. A cooling
trend will continue through Thursday when valley highs are only
expected to be in the 80s. A slow warming trend will develop by
the weekend with highs close to normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TUE-FRI)...15/859 PM.

The latest fog product imagery shows low clouds and fog well
entrenched across the coastal waters this evening. Clouds are
making a run into coastal and valley areas as strong onshore flow
remains in place. The marine layer depth will continue to deepen
overnight tonight and push low clouds and fog into the coastal
slopes of the mountains. A persistent marine layer depth and an
onshore flow will continue through Wednesday and keep a cooler
than normal pattern in the forecast.

***From Previous Discussion***

A slow warming trend will begin Thursday and continue through
Friday. Marine layer depth will decrease considerably, possibly
confined to the coastal zones by Friday.

Still monitoring the potential for afternoon showers/storms across
the San Gabriel Mountains Thursday as moisture slowly works its
way west from MX and AZ. Based on the all the model guidance it
still seems like the chances for precip reaching the ground are
10% or less. While PW`s increase to around 1.2", most of that
moisture is above 15000 feet and stability parameters are not
favorable for sustained updrafts. So will keep rain chances out of
the forecast but continue to monitor the models to see if a kicker
appears and/or moisture and especially instability increase.

.LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)...15/138 PM.

Not a lot of weather excitement locally over the weekend and into
early next week. The slow warming trend will continue into the
weekend, generally topping out near seasonal normals in most
areas by Sunday. Then just minimal day to day changes in temps and
marine layer coverage early next week with no additional signs of
monsoon flow or any big heat waves at least through the middle of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...16/0058Z.

Around 2330Z, the marine layer depth was around 1200 feet deep at
KLAX. The top of the marine inversion was at 2400 feet with a
temperature near 24 degrees Celsius.

Moderate confidence in flight categories. High confidence in
timing of arrival. IFR to MVFR conditions will spread into coastal
and valley terminals through 10Z. There is a moderate chance of
LIFR conditions at terminals north of Point Conception between 08Z
and 16Z. There is a moderate chance of clearing later than
forecast at coastal terminals.

KLAX...IFR to MVFR conditions will spread into KLAX as soon as 01Z
or as late as 03Z. There is a 30 percent chance that conditions
could end up being predominantly MVFR through the period. VFR
conditions could develop as soon as 17Z, or as late as 20Z.

KBUR...IFR to MVFR conditions will spread into KBUR as soon as
05Z or as late as 08Z. There is a 20 percent chance that
conditions could end up being predominantly MVFR through the
period. VFR conditions should develop around 17Z.

&&

.MARINE...15/741 PM.

Tonight through Thursday, winds and seas are expected to remain
below Small Craft Advisory (SCA) levels across all the coastal
waters. For Friday through Sunday, winds will begin to increase
with a 20-30% chance of SCA level winds around Point Conception.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Hall/MW
AVIATION...Hall
MARINE...RAT/Ciliberti
SYNOPSIS...MW/Ciliberti

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox