Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 270333
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1033 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 107 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

The heat advisory continues through 7 PM today over the eastern
half of Oklahoma. The small chance for showers today decrease ever
so slightly tomorrow as no complex is expected to generate outflow
boundaries and no other significant boundaries are evident. The
upper ridge will build slightly through tomorrow afternoon with
less cloud cover tomorrow morning than this morning. Nearly the
same heat and humidity is expected. Heat advisory will probably be
needed again in southeastern Oklahoma and possible farther north
Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

No major changes were made to the long term portion of the forecast,
as things look relatively calm with the upper level ridge
establishing itself over the central U.S. Temperatures will
gradually climb above normal through the week, with the possibility
of triple digit high temperatures across most of Oklahoma and
western north Texas by the weekend. With the ample amount of
moisture already in place, additional heat advisories are likely to
continue throughout the week. Some uncertainty towards the weekend
between the models on the breakdown of the upper level ridging and
the return of precipitation in the region, however for now precip
chances have been kept low.

Zwink

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

Will include MVFR restrictions in BR across central portions of
Oklahoma toward daybreak. This will be dependent on if mid-high
clouds thin. Isolated convection forming near the wrn OK/TX
border not expected to impact KWWR nor KCSM. Included PROB30 at
KSPS for afternoon TSRA where moisture and broad convergent signal
exists in most high res model output.

&&

.UPPER AIR...
Issued at 335 AM CDT Mon Jul 26 2021

An Upper Air flight is planned for Monday, Jul 27 at 12Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  74  94  74  95 /  50  10   0  10
Hobart OK         74  96  74  96 /  20  10   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  75  99  75  98 /  20  10   0  10
Gage OK           71  95  72  96 /  20  10   0   0
Ponca City OK     73  95  74  95 /  60  10   0   0
Durant OK         76  97  75  96 /  20  20  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....50
AVIATION...11


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