Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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197 ACUS11 KWNS 021054 SWOMCD SPC MCD 021054 LAZ000-TXZ000-021230- Mesoscale Discussion 0603 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0554 AM CDT Thu May 02 2024 Areas affected...southeast Texas into southwest Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 021054Z - 021230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Strong thunderstorms may locally produce gusty winds or hail to near 1 inch over the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms will continue shifting east/southeast the next few hours. A 30-40 kt southerly low-level jet and embedded, convectively induced MCV is likely aiding in continued thunderstorm organization amid moderate instability (MLCAPE 1500-2000 J/kg). Sporadic, locally strong gusts are possible, in additional to hail to near 1 inch, before storms move offshore over the next couple of hours. Given the marginal nature of the severe threat, and limited spatial/temporal extent of the threat, a watch is not expected. ..Leitman/Edwards.. 05/02/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX... LAT...LON 29919546 30179604 30349616 30649604 30969575 31019543 30889419 30699327 30469286 30239269 29569291 29369357 29469431 29919546