Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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969
ACUS11 KWNS 070457
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070456
MOZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-070630-

Mesoscale Discussion 0671
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1156 PM CDT Mon May 06 2024

Areas affected...Central IA into MO and far western IL/southern IA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 191...192...

Valid 070456Z - 070630Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 191, 192 continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging wind and perhaps a couple line-embedded tornadoes
remain possible overnight as an extensive QLCS moves eastward.
Downstream watch issuance may eventually be needed.

DISCUSSION...An extensive QLCS has recently moved through areas
near/south of Kansas City, with multiple mesovortices recently noted
along the leading edge of the line. Downstream, the environment
remains favorably unstable into central MO, with somewhat cooler and
more stable conditions noted into northeast MO, though some recovery
remains possible into this area prior to storm arrival.

Low-level shear/SRH remains strong according to regional VWPs, and a
threat for line-embedded tornadoes and damaging gusts will continue
eastward through the early overnight hours. Some threat is likely to
eventually move eastward out of WW 192, and downstream watch
issuance into parts of central/eastern MO may eventually be needed.

..Dean/Guyer.. 05/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...

LAT...LON   38089464 39739444 40469421 40829290 40799173 40299093
            39159064 38279105 38059139 37999319 38019346 37989397
            38089464