Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
092
UXUS97 KGJT 121307
SRGGJT
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Grand Junction, Colorado
707 AM MDT Thursday, March 12, 2026
This forecast is for Thursday, March 12, 2026:
If the trigger temperature of 57.5 F/14.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Good
Maximum rate of lift........................ 670 ft/min (3.4 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 13923 ft MSL (8315 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 66.0 F/19.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1245 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11946 ft MSL (6338 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Friday 03/13....... Good
Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:29:31 / 19:18:00 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 48 min 29 sec (708 min 29 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:23:46 MDT... 47.44 degrees
Upper air data from rawinsonde observation taken on 03/12/2026 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 10406 ft MSL (4798 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 18215 ft MSL (12607 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 16327 ft MSL (10720 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +5.6
K index......................... -5.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -65.8 -86.4 300 64 33 1.7 0.9 M M M M M
45000 -63.3 -81.9 295 68 35 1.1 0.6 M M M M M
40000 -61.6 -78.9 300 63 32 1.2 0.7 M M M M M
38000 -58.5 -73.3 300 60 31 7.0 3.9 M M M M M
36000 -53.7 -64.7 300 56 29 7.0 3.9 M M M M M
34000 -49.2 -56.6 295 52 27 8.2 4.5 M M M M M
32000 -44.2 -47.6 290 47 24 8.2 4.5 M M M M M
30000 -39.4 -38.9 290 45 23 8.0 4.4 36.1 96.9 13.0 M M
29000 -37.0 -34.6 290 44 23 8.0 4.4 35.3 95.6 12.6 M M
28000 -34.6 -30.3 295 44 23 8.0 4.4 34.7 94.5 12.2 M M
27000 -32.2 -26.0 295 44 23 7.5 4.1 34.0 93.3 11.9 M M
26000 -30.0 -22.0 295 44 22 7.5 4.1 33.1 91.6 11.3 M M
25000 -27.7 -17.9 295 43 22 7.5 4.1 32.3 90.1 10.8 M M
24000 -25.5 -13.9 295 43 22 6.8 3.7 31.5 88.7 10.2 M M
23000 -23.5 -10.3 295 42 22 6.7 3.7 30.3 86.5 9.4 M M
22000 -21.5 -6.7 295 42 22 6.7 3.7 29.2 84.6 8.6 M M
21000 -19.0 -2.2 295 42 22 6.3 3.5 27.8 82.0 7.5 M M
20000 -17.2 1.0 300 42 21 6.3 3.5 26.5 79.8 6.5 M M
19500 -16.2 2.8 300 41 21 6.3 3.5 26.0 78.7 6.0 M M
19000 -15.3 4.5 300 41 21 6.3 3.5 25.4 77.8 5.6 M M
18500 -14.3 6.3 300 41 21 6.3 3.5 24.8 76.7 5.1 M M
18000 -13.4 7.9 300 40 21 6.3 3.5 24.2 75.6 4.6 M M
17500 -12.4 9.7 300 40 20 6.4 3.5 23.7 74.6 4.1 M M
17000 -11.5 11.3 300 39 20 6.4 3.5 23.1 73.6 3.6 M M
16500 -10.5 13.1 305 38 20 6.3 3.5 22.5 72.6 3.2 M M
16000 -9.6 14.7 305 37 19 6.2 3.4 21.9 71.5 2.6 M M
15500 -8.6 16.5 305 36 19 6.1 3.4 21.4 70.4 2.1 M M
15000 -7.8 18.0 305 36 18 5.2 2.9 20.6 69.2 1.5 M M
14500 -7.0 19.4 305 35 18 5.3 2.9 19.9 67.8 0.8 M M
14000 -6.3 20.7 305 34 17 4.8 2.7 19.1 66.5 0.1 M M
13500 -5.6 21.9 305 32 17 4.9 2.7 18.3 65.0 -0.7 638 3.2
13000 -4.9 23.2 300 31 16 4.6 2.5 17.5 63.6 -1.4 602 3.1
12500 -4.2 24.4 300 28 14 4.5 2.4 16.7 62.1 -2.2 568 2.9
12000 -3.4 25.9 300 25 13 6.8 3.7 16.0 60.8 -2.9 530 2.7
11500 -2.4 27.7 290 22 12 6.9 3.8 15.6 60.0 -3.4 485 2.5
11000 -1.4 29.5 290 21 11 7.3 4.0 15.1 59.2 -3.9 439 2.2
10500 -0.3 31.5 290 20 11 8.0 4.4 14.7 58.5 -4.3 393 2.0
10250 0.3 32.5 285 20 10 10.0 5.5 14.7 58.4 -4.4 365 1.9
10000 1.1 34.0 285 20 10 9.5 5.2 14.7 58.4 -4.4 336 1.7
9750 1.7 35.1 285 20 10 8.7 4.8 14.6 58.3 -4.5 309 1.6
9500 2.4 36.3 285 20 10 9.1 5.0 14.6 58.2 -4.6 282 1.4
9250 3.0 37.4 285 20 10 7.5 4.1 14.5 58.1 -4.7 255 1.3
9000 3.5 38.3 285 20 10 7.4 4.1 14.2 57.6 -4.9 233 1.2
8750 4.1 39.4 285 19 10 8.9 4.9 14.1 57.5 -5.0 207 1.0
8500 4.8 40.6 285 18 9 7.8 4.3 14.0 57.3 -5.1 180 0.9
8250 5.3 41.5 285 17 9 5.2 2.9 13.8 56.9 -5.4 158 0.8
8000 5.6 42.1 280 15 8 5.0 2.7 13.4 56.1 -5.8 141 0.7
7750 6.0 42.8 280 13 7 6.6 3.6 13.1 55.6 -6.1 120 0.6
7500 6.5 43.7 280 11 6 5.1 2.8 12.8 55.1 -6.4 99 0.5
7250 6.8 44.2 275 9 5 3.5 1.9 12.4 54.3 -6.8 83 0.4
7000 7.1 44.8 265 7 4 4.2 2.3 11.9 53.5 -7.3 67 0.3
6750 7.4 45.3 260 5 3 4.2 2.3 11.5 52.8 -7.7 50 0.3
6500 7.6 45.7 250 4 2 2.7 1.5 11.1 51.9 -8.2 35 0.2
6250 7.7 45.9 235 3 2 -0.5 -0.3 10.4 50.8 -8.9 24 0.1
6000 7.8 46.0 210 3 1 7.8 4.3 9.8 49.7 -9.5 14 0.1
5750 8.5 47.3 190 2 1 1.1 0.6 9.8 49.6 -9.6 M M
5500 M M M M M M M M M M M M
5250 M M M M M M M M M M M M
5000 M M M M M M M M M M M M
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
03/12/2026 at 0900 MDT | 03/12/2026 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.6
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +5.5 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +6.5
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.7 -84.5 295 59 30 -0.5 -0.3 | -63.4 -82.1 300 59 30 1.0 0.5
45000 -65.4 -85.7 290 52 27 1.2 0.7 | -62.0 -79.6 295 58 30 -1.2 -0.6
40000 -63.7 -82.7 295 68 35 1.2 0.7 | -63.8 -82.8 290 69 35 -1.2 -0.6
38000 -60.5 -76.9 300 67 35 7.3 4.0 | -60.5 -76.9 295 65 34 7.6 4.2
36000 -55.6 -68.1 305 63 33 7.3 4.0 | -55.9 -68.6 295 60 31 7.6 4.2
34000 -50.8 -59.4 305 61 31 8.9 4.9 | -51.0 -59.8 300 56 29 8.6 4.7
32000 -45.4 -49.7 310 60 31 8.9 4.9 | -45.9 -50.6 305 56 29 8.6 4.7
30000 -40.5 -40.9 310 56 29 7.3 4.0 | -40.9 -41.6 310 54 28 7.9 4.4
29000 -38.3 -36.9 310 53 27 7.3 4.0 | -38.5 -37.3 310 52 27 7.9 4.4
28000 -36.1 -33.0 310 49 25 7.3 4.0 | -36.1 -33.0 310 49 25 8.0 4.4
27000 -33.9 -29.0 305 47 24 7.8 4.3 | -33.7 -28.7 310 48 25 8.1 4.5
26000 -31.6 -24.9 305 46 24 7.7 4.3 | -31.3 -24.3 305 47 24 8.1 4.5
25000 -29.3 -20.7 300 46 24 7.8 4.3 | -28.8 -19.8 305 47 24 8.1 4.5
24000 -27.0 -16.6 295 47 24 7.7 4.2 | -26.4 -15.5 305 46 24 8.1 4.4
23000 -24.7 -12.5 300 47 24 7.7 4.2 | -23.4 -10.1 305 46 24 8.1 4.4
22000 -21.8 -7.2 300 47 24 7.8 4.3 | -21.0 -5.8 305 45 23 8.2 4.5
21000 -19.8 -3.6 300 46 24 6.3 3.5 | -18.8 -1.8 310 46 24 6.6 3.6
20000 -17.9 -0.2 300 46 24 6.3 3.5 | -16.9 1.6 310 47 24 6.6 3.6
19500 -17.0 1.4 300 46 24 6.3 3.5 | -15.9 3.4 310 48 25 6.5 3.6
19000 -16.0 3.2 300 46 24 6.1 3.4 | -14.9 5.2 310 48 25 6.2 3.4
18500 -15.2 4.6 300 45 23 6.0 3.3 | -14.1 6.6 310 49 25 5.7 3.2
18000 -14.3 6.3 300 45 23 6.0 3.3 | -13.2 8.2 310 49 25 5.8 3.2
17500 -13.4 7.9 300 44 23 5.6 3.1 | -12.4 9.7 310 50 25 5.2 2.8
17000 -12.6 9.3 300 44 23 5.7 3.1 | -11.7 10.9 310 49 25 5.3 2.9
16500 -11.7 10.9 300 43 22 5.5 3.0 | -10.9 12.4 310 49 25 5.1 2.8
16000 -10.9 12.4 300 42 22 5.5 3.0 | -10.2 13.6 310 48 25 5.0 2.7
15500 -10.1 13.8 300 41 21 5.3 2.9 | -9.4 15.1 310 48 24 4.8 2.6
15000 -9.4 15.1 300 40 20 5.0 2.8 | -8.8 16.2 305 46 24 4.5 2.5
14500 -8.7 16.3 300 38 20 5.1 2.8 | -8.1 17.4 305 44 23 4.5 2.5
14000 -7.9 17.8 300 37 19 5.2 2.9 | -7.5 18.5 305 42 22 4.5 2.4
13500 -7.2 19.0 300 35 18 5.2 2.9 | -6.8 19.8 300 39 20 4.4 2.4
13000 -6.4 20.5 300 33 17 5.8 3.2 | -6.1 21.0 300 37 19 5.4 3.0
12500 -5.5 22.1 300 32 16 5.6 3.1 | -5.4 22.3 300 34 18 5.2 2.9
12000 -4.6 23.7 300 30 15 7.1 3.9 | -4.5 23.9 295 32 16 7.0 3.8
11500 -3.6 25.5 295 28 14 7.0 3.8 | -3.5 25.7 295 29 15 6.7 3.7
11000 -2.6 27.3 295 26 13 6.8 3.7 | -2.4 27.7 290 27 14 7.8 4.3
10500 -1.5 29.3 290 24 13 6.9 3.8 | -1.3 29.7 285 25 13 7.8 4.3
10250 -1.0 30.2 285 23 12 5.6 3.1 | -0.7 30.7 285 24 12 6.7 3.7
10000 -0.7 30.7 285 23 12 5.1 2.8 | -0.2 31.6 285 24 12 6.5 3.6
9750 -0.2 31.6 280 22 11 6.0 3.3 | 0.3 32.5 280 22 11 7.4 4.1
9500 0.2 32.4 280 20 10 5.7 3.1 | 0.9 33.6 280 21 11 6.9 3.8
9250 0.6 33.1 275 19 10 4.7 2.6 | 1.4 34.5 275 20 10 5.7 3.1
9000 0.9 33.6 270 19 10 4.3 2.4 | 1.8 35.2 270 19 10 5.2 2.8
8750 1.3 34.3 270 17 9 5.3 2.9 | 2.2 36.0 265 18 9 5.9 3.3
8500 1.7 35.1 265 15 8 4.9 2.7 | 2.6 36.7 265 16 8 5.3 2.9
8250 2.3 36.1 260 13 7 3.6 2.0 | 3.0 37.4 265 15 8 4.1 2.3
8000 2.7 36.9 255 12 6 6.5 3.6 | 3.7 38.7 260 12 6 9.2 5.1
7750 3.2 37.8 250 10 5 5.9 3.2 | 4.5 40.1 260 11 5 8.9 4.9
7500 3.5 38.3 250 8 4 3.2 1.8 | 5.0 41.0 260 9 5 5.2 2.9
7250 3.8 38.8 245 7 3 3.2 1.7 | 5.4 41.7 265 8 4 5.4 2.9
7000 4.0 39.2 235 5 3 6.0 3.3 | 5.9 42.6 265 7 3 11.2 6.1
6750 4.6 40.3 220 5 2 6.4 3.5 | 7.0 44.6 260 7 3 12.7 7.0
6500 4.9 40.8 210 4 2 4.7 2.6 | 7.7 45.9 260 6 3 9.4 5.1
6250 5.3 41.5 195 3 2 2.5 1.4 | 8.4 47.1 260 6 3 7.3 4.0
6000 5.2 41.4 175 4 2 -3.1 -1.7 | 9.0 48.2 275 5 2 10.9 6.0
5750 5.0 41.0 165 3 1 -2.9 -1.6 | 10.4 50.7 280 4 2 27.1 14.9
5500 4.7 40.5 145 2 1 -5.6 -3.1 | 11.8 53.2 280 4 2 -4.4 -2.4
5250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
5000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
03/12/2026 at 1500 MDT | 03/12/2026 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +6.0 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.0
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +5.9 | CINH... -0.1 K Index... +8.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -64.1 -83.4 305 60 31 0.3 0.2 | -64.1 -83.4 305 64 33 1.5 0.8
45000 -63.7 -82.7 310 61 32 -0.6 -0.4 | -62.1 -79.8 305 62 32 -2.0 -1.1
40000 -64.6 -84.3 295 64 33 -0.5 -0.3 | -64.5 -84.1 300 62 32 -1.5 -0.8
38000 -60.7 -77.3 295 61 31 8.3 4.6 | -61.2 -78.2 300 61 31 8.7 4.8
36000 -55.7 -68.3 300 57 29 8.3 4.6 | -55.3 -67.5 300 59 30 8.7 4.8
34000 -50.6 -59.1 300 55 28 9.0 4.9 | -50.1 -58.2 300 58 30 8.9 4.9
32000 -45.2 -49.4 305 55 28 9.0 4.9 | -44.7 -48.5 305 57 29 8.9 4.9
30000 -40.0 -40.0 310 56 29 8.1 4.4 | -39.5 -39.1 305 56 29 8.3 4.6
29000 -37.6 -35.7 310 57 29 8.1 4.4 | -37.1 -34.8 310 56 29 8.3 4.6
28000 -35.2 -31.4 310 58 30 8.1 4.5 | -34.6 -30.3 310 55 28 8.3 4.6
27000 -32.8 -27.0 310 57 30 7.9 4.3 | -32.1 -25.8 310 55 28 7.9 4.3
26000 -30.4 -22.7 310 56 29 7.9 4.3 | -29.8 -21.6 310 55 28 7.9 4.3
25000 -28.1 -18.6 310 54 28 7.9 4.3 | -27.4 -17.3 310 55 28 7.9 4.3
24000 -25.8 -14.4 310 53 27 7.2 3.9 | -25.1 -13.2 305 55 28 7.1 3.9
23000 -23.1 -9.6 310 50 26 7.2 4.0 | -23.0 -9.4 305 54 28 7.2 3.9
22000 -20.9 -5.6 305 49 25 7.3 4.0 | -20.3 -4.5 305 53 27 7.2 3.9
21000 -18.9 -2.0 305 47 24 6.4 3.5 | -18.5 -1.3 310 52 27 5.5 3.0
20000 -17.0 1.4 305 46 24 6.3 3.5 | -16.9 1.6 310 50 26 5.5 3.0
19500 -16.1 3.0 310 46 23 6.3 3.5 | -16.0 3.2 310 50 26 5.5 3.0
19000 -15.1 4.8 310 45 23 6.2 3.4 | -15.2 4.6 310 49 25 5.5 3.0
18500 -14.2 6.4 310 45 23 6.1 3.3 | -14.4 6.1 310 48 25 5.5 3.0
18000 -13.4 7.9 310 44 23 6.0 3.3 | -13.6 7.5 310 48 25 5.5 3.0
17500 -12.4 9.7 310 44 23 6.3 3.5 | -12.8 9.0 310 47 24 5.3 2.9
17000 -11.5 11.3 310 44 23 6.3 3.5 | -12.0 10.4 310 46 24 5.3 2.9
16500 -10.6 12.9 310 44 23 6.1 3.4 | -11.2 11.8 310 45 23 5.4 3.0
16000 -9.7 14.5 310 43 22 6.0 3.3 | -10.4 13.3 310 43 22 5.4 3.0
15500 -8.8 16.2 310 43 22 5.8 3.2 | -9.7 14.5 310 41 21 5.5 3.0
15000 -8.0 17.6 310 42 22 5.2 2.8 | -8.9 16.0 305 38 20 5.5 3.0
14500 -7.3 18.9 310 41 21 5.2 2.8 | -8.1 17.4 305 36 18 5.5 3.0
14000 -6.6 20.1 310 39 20 4.2 2.3 | -7.2 19.0 305 33 17 6.6 3.6
13500 -6.0 21.2 310 37 19 4.2 2.3 | -6.2 20.8 305 31 16 6.4 3.5
13000 -5.3 22.5 305 34 18 5.5 3.0 | -5.2 22.6 300 28 15 7.7 4.2
12500 -4.5 23.9 305 31 16 5.2 2.9 | -4.1 24.6 300 27 14 7.6 4.2
12000 -3.6 25.5 300 28 14 7.1 3.9 | -2.9 26.8 295 25 13 8.4 4.6
11500 -2.6 27.3 295 25 13 6.9 3.8 | -1.7 28.9 290 24 13 8.4 4.6
11000 -1.5 29.3 290 23 12 8.0 4.4 | -0.4 31.3 290 23 12 8.7 4.8
10500 -0.3 31.5 285 21 11 8.0 4.4 | 0.9 33.6 285 23 12 8.9 4.9
10250 0.3 32.5 285 20 10 8.1 4.4 | 1.6 34.9 280 22 12 8.1 4.4
10000 0.9 33.6 280 20 10 8.4 4.6 | 2.1 35.8 280 22 11 8.4 4.6
9750 1.6 34.9 280 19 10 8.6 4.7 | 2.8 37.0 280 22 11 9.5 5.2
9500 2.2 36.0 275 19 10 8.5 4.7 | 3.5 38.3 275 22 11 9.1 5.0
9250 2.9 37.2 275 18 9 9.4 5.2 | 4.2 39.6 275 22 11 9.6 5.3
9000 3.6 38.5 275 18 9 9.2 5.1 | 4.9 40.8 270 22 12 9.4 5.1
8750 4.2 39.6 270 18 9 8.0 4.4 | 5.6 42.1 270 22 11 8.6 4.7
8500 5.4 41.7 270 17 9 8.5 4.7 | 6.9 44.4 265 21 11 8.4 4.6
8250 6.1 43.0 270 16 8 8.7 4.8 | 7.5 45.5 265 22 11 8.7 4.8
8000 6.8 44.2 270 15 8 9.4 5.2 | 8.2 46.8 265 21 11 10.1 5.6
7750 7.5 45.5 270 15 8 9.6 5.3 | 9.0 48.2 265 21 11 9.9 5.4
7500 8.2 46.8 270 15 7 9.4 5.2 | 9.7 49.5 265 21 11 8.6 4.7
7250 8.9 48.0 270 14 7 9.5 5.2 | 10.3 50.5 265 21 11 8.5 4.7
7000 9.6 49.3 270 14 7 10.7 5.9 | 11.0 51.8 265 21 11 10.9 6.0
6750 10.5 50.9 270 13 7 10.6 5.8 | 11.9 53.4 260 19 10 11.2 6.1
6500 11.2 52.2 270 13 7 9.7 5.3 | 12.6 54.7 260 19 10 9.6 5.3
6250 11.9 53.4 270 12 6 9.6 5.3 | 13.4 56.1 260 19 10 9.8 5.4
6000 12.8 55.0 275 12 6 15.3 8.4 | 14.1 57.4 260 18 9 9.8 5.4
5750 14.3 57.7 275 11 6 26.0 14.3 | 14.9 58.8 260 15 8 12.2 6.7
5500 15.9 60.6 275 10 5 6.7 3.7 | 15.9 60.6 260 13 7 15.3 8.4
5250 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
5000 M M M M M M M | M M M M M M M
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC). It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken at Walker Field in Grand
Junction, Colorado at
North Latitude: 39 deg 07 min 00.001 sec
West Longitude: 108 deg 31 min 59.998 sec
Elevation: 4839 feet (1475 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Western Slope of
Colorado. Note that some elevations in numerical weather prediction models
differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to data which appear
to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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