Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY
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626 FXUS63 KPAH 111714 AFDPAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1214 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry weather is expected through the weekend with a warming trend to near the 80 degree mark by Sunday. - Showers and thunderstorms are forecast Monday into Tuesday. Potential for severe weather and/or flooding issues is limited. - After a midweek break, another chance of showers and storms is in the forecast for the end of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 330 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Mainly clear and dry conditions are anticipated through much of the weekend. The main exception is a temporary increase in mid level clouds early today across the Wabash River Valley and Evansville Tri-State in association with the passage of a shortwave trough across the Ohio Valley. As weak ridging builds east from the Plains, temperatures should warm through the 70s today, then pop above the 80 degree mark on Sunday. A wet pattern still appears likely next week as an upper low and troughing currently over the southwestern U.S. approach early in the new week. Expect a couple periods of showers and isolated storms through the week. The first will impact the region Monday into Tuesday, while the second arrives later in the week with the approach of an upper level trough within a quasi-zonal split flow pattern. The synoptic setup still doesn`t appear particularly favorable for severe weather with generally marginal shear and instability anticipated. Flooding also appears to be a lower probability with rainfall totals generally forecast in the one half to 1.5 inch range for the first half of the week. However, a localized water issue certainly can`t be ruled out. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/... Issued at 1212 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 VFR conditions expected through the end of the period. Overall great flying weather with modest winds out of the northwest. Winds will go light and variable overnight and pick up out of the southwest tomorrow but will still be fairly light. Some scattered high clouds will work into the area tomorrow morning. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...RJP AVIATION...SHAWKEY