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000
FXUS62 KKEY 251430
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1030 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

A copy and paste kind of day across the Florida Keys. A weak
surface anticyclone sits in the western North Atlantic and extends
across the Gulf of Mexico. This is maintaining northeast to east
winds across the area. Dry air aloft continues to support nothing
more than fair weather cu with ample sunshine. Temperatures range
from 76 to 81 degrees with dew points comfortably in the lower to
mid 60s.

No changes needed to the going forecast. As daytime heating across
the Florida Peninsula continues, a thermal trough will develop and
bifurcate the surface anticyclone. Normally this would lead to a
decline in wind speeds in the afternoon, however, models all agree
that winds will do the opposite and may weakly surge this
afternoon. Regardless, moderate breezes is the strongest we
anticipate at this time. No headlines needed. Near nil PoPs will
persist today with mostly sunny skies.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

No watches, warnings, or advisories are in the effect for the
Florida Keys coastal waters. Gentle to moderate breezes will
prevail in the near term as an Atlantic ridge remains extended
westward across Florida. This high will be subsumed by a larger
high spreading into the western North Atlantic late this week and
into the weekend. This will be accompanied by sharply freshening
easterly breezes.

&&

.AVIATION...
(15Z TAFS)
Issued at 1030 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Dry, VFR conditions will prevail at EYW and MTH throughout the TAF
period. Near surface winds will remain easterly from 5 to 10 knots,
leaning closer to 10 knots. MVFR CIGs cannot be ruled out during the
day while winds remain parallel to the island chain and develops a
potential cloud line.

&&

.CLIMATE...

Other than 0.02 inches measured at MTH 3 days ago, EYW and MTH have
remained dry for the last 20 days. The last measurable rainfall was
at EYW of 0.55 inches on April 4th.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...LIW
Aviation/Nowcasts....AJP
Data Acquisition.....AJP

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