Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 140902
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
402 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Forecast Headlines/Highlights:

1) Winter Weather Advisory Today Expanded across Ellsworth, Saline,
McPherson, Marion & Chase Counties.

2) High Wind Warning Remains In Effect For Russell, Barton, Rice,
Ellsworth & Lincoln Counties.

3) Wind Advisory Across South-Central KS Expanded Across Greenwood,
Elk & Chautauqua Counties.

Today:
This, no doubt, remains the most active period of forecast. The
vicious cyclone that was centered over extreme North-Central KS
late Thursday Night/early yesterday morning is centered over far
SE Nebraska early this morning. A powerful cold front curves from
the cyclone to near the KS/MO border, thru C OK to C TX while a
stationary front extends across far Northern MO. The sfc cyclone
will move generally in an easterly manner, reaching the Mid-MS
Valley early this evening. STRONG NW winds will lash the region,
easily reaching advisory criteria in most areas & even stronger
across NW sections. The snow occurring across much of Central KS
will continue to spread SE & may encroach upon Highway 54/400. A
light rain/light snow mixture is anticipated perhaps as far as
Highway 54/400 before changing back to light rain by midday. The
strong NW winds will no doubt keep temps in check. In fact, have
lowered highs even further in most areas.

Tonight:
As the cyclone continues its trek E, a sharp inverted sfc ridge
will knife due S across the Western Plains to produce bitterly
cold weather. Record lows are in reach. With the inverted ridge
forcing the sfc cyclone E, all precipitation should exit KICT
Country early this evening.

Sun-Mon Night:
Quiet weather will dominate the region as the afore-mentioned
ridge continues to build S/SE.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 402 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Another very intense sfc cyclone is still scheduled to push E
across most of Northern KS Tue & Tue Night. This would send
another cold front (though not as strong) across the state Tue
Night. Moisture is greatly lacking & so no precipitation would
result.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1139 PM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018

Very strong northwest winds will spread across central Kansas
overnight along with rain changing to snow. Some light snow
accumulations and reduced visibilities from blowing snow are
likely over central Kansas for late tonight into Saturday morning.
Meanwhile low clouds in the MVFR range will blanket the entire
area for much of the day on Saturday along with persistent very
strong northwest winds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 402 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Although NW winds will be very strong, they will also transport
much colder air into KS which would keep the grassland fire danger
in check for most areas. A very high grassland fire danger will
none-the-less across Central & South-Central KS this afternoon.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 402 AM CDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Record Lows For April 15th:

Wichita: 25 In 1983
Chanute: 23 In 2014
Salina:  21 In 2014
Russell: 18 In 2014

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    40  24  49  26 /  30  10   0   0
Hutchinson      37  23  49  24 /  40  10   0   0
Newton          37  22  46  23 /  40  10   0   0
ElDorado        39  24  47  25 /  30  10   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   42  24  51  26 /  20  10   0   0
Russell         33  18  47  21 /  50  10   0   0
Great Bend      35  19  49  24 /  30  10   0   0
Salina          35  22  45  22 /  60  10   0   0
McPherson       36  22  46  22 /  50  10   0   0
Coffeyville     46  29  49  27 /  10  10   0   0
Chanute         44  26  45  25 /  10  20   0   0
Iola            43  26  44  25 /  20  20   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    45  28  47  26 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ049-051>053-
067>070-082-083-091>094-098.

High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ032-033-047-
048-050.

Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ032-
033-048-049-051>053.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...CDJ
FIRE WEATHER...EPS
CLIMATE...EPS



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