Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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FXUS63 KMQT 162307
AFDMQT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Marquette MI
707 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 216 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2019

Upper air pattern consists of a broad 500 mb trough across most of
the U.S. with a closed low over southern Saskatchewan. This low
moves east to the upper Great Lakes on Mon. Batch of showers this
afternoon will dissipate by evening and then next round of pcpn will
be moving in Mon afternoon across the western U.P. The chances will
be slight though as not a whole lot of moisture to work with.
Overall, pretty quiet and not much change to the going forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 429 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2019

With weak waves traversing through in this forecast period,
uncertainty remains high in specifics for PoPs. Models disagree on
Tuesday night into Wednesday in particular, yielding low-end
mentionable PoPs to account for this uncertainty. From Thursday
through the end of the forecast period, the weather becomes that
much more unsettled as zonal flow initially transitions into a more
amplified pattern. Look for increasing thunderstorm chances as the
weekend approaches.

As previously advertised, temperatures will linger near normal for
mid-June, with 60s and 70s (generally) for highs and 40s to around
50 for lows.
&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 707 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2019

Expect VFR conditions through the forecast period. Lake-driven
winds will become light and variable overnight.
&&

.MARINE...(For the 4 PM Lake Superior forecast issuance)
Issued at 216 PM EDT SUN JUN 16 2019

The wind will remain at or below 20 knots across the lake into the
late week.
&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Upper Michigan...
None.
Lake Superior...
None.
Lake Michigan...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM...lg
AVIATION...Ritzman
MARINE...07


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