Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
949 FXUS64 KCRP 132340 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 640 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 637 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 - Low rain chances (20-30%) through Monday. - Dry the rest of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1144 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Convection is expected to be limited across the Coastal Bend through the next couple days as deep moisture and large-scale forcing are lacking. A weak mid-level impulse moving through the Rio Grande Plains may spark isolated showers or storms across portions of the Brush Country into tomorrow, with sea breeze and streamer showers in the cards farther east. NBM PoPs came in too low across the west so added in a slight chance (20-25%) to account for this. Rain chances remain highest across the Victoria Crossroads tomorrow (~30%) as shortwaves pass to the north of the CWA, but widespread rainfall is not anticipated. By midweek, the overall trend across South Texas looks drier and more stable as moisture decreases and high pressure expands from the east. Highs will generally be in the low to mid 90s, with highs progged to reach the upper 90s to triple digits across the Brush Country. Heat risk will range from minor to moderate (levels 1-2 of 4) across the region, with heat indices expected to be below 110 degF and thus below Heat Advisory criteria. However, please continue to practice heat safety to prevent any heat- related stress/illnesses. Overnight temperatures will be in the mid to upper 70s, though slightly cooler lows drift in mid-to-late week in response to the drier in filtering into the region. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 637 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 An area of showers and storms is approaching LRD this evening. Have VCTS in the TAF for the next few hours. Also some showers in the VCT of COT through the evening. Farther east expect mainly dry conditions. Prevailing VFR CIGS will persist, with brief MVFR toward morning and most sites. Breezy conditions with VFR CIGS expected tomorrow. Isolated convection will be around mainly west and north tomorrow, but for now too low confidence/coverage to consider including in TAFs. && .MARINE... Issued at 1144 AM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) southeasterly winds will persist over the waters through much of the upcoming week. Low rain chances (20-30%) remain in the forecast through Monday before mainly dry conditions persist through the rest of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 79 93 78 93 / 0 10 10 10 Victoria 76 93 77 93 / 10 30 10 20 Laredo 79 101 79 101 / 20 20 10 10 Alice 76 96 76 96 / 0 20 10 10 Rockport 81 91 81 90 / 10 10 10 10 Cotulla 79 99 79 100 / 30 40 20 20 Kingsville 76 93 77 93 / 0 20 0 10 Navy Corpus 81 89 81 89 / 10 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KRS/98 AVIATION...PH/83