Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 210349

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
849 PM MST Fri Apr 20 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Warmer temperatures, generally light winds, and dry
conditions can be expected for the weekend and into the middle of
next week.


Showers are ending across northern Arizona this evening. Clouds
are hanging on across Apache County, but general clearing is
expected into the overnight hours.


.PREV DISCUSSION /332 PM MST/...For Saturday - light northerly
flow continues but temperatures will make a major recovery as the
low moves away from the area. Expect afternoon highs to be several
degrees above mid-April averages. On Sunday - above normal
temperatures continue, but a weak upper disturbance will bring an
increase in mid and high clouds. Just enough moisture could be in
place over the White Mountains for a slight chance of an afternoon

Next week - temperatures are forecast to be well above normal each
day. Typical springtime afternoon winds will develop, but no
strong wind events are anticipated at this time. With the warm
daytime temperatures and some limited boundary layer moisture,
there will likely be some afternoon cloud buildups over high
terrain especially Wednesday through Friday. We have included a
slight chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms for the high
terrain of Apache County including the White Mountains Wednesday
through Friday.


.AVIATION...For the 06Z package...Expect mostly VFR conditions
across northern Arizona for the next 24 hrs. There is a slight
chance for low level radiation fog in at KGCN, KFLG and KINW in
the early morning hrs, dissipating by 15Z. Winds will be light and
variable over night becoming northerly at 10kts gusting 20kts in
the afternoon. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Dry weather will move in for Saturday with warmer
temperatures and light north to northeast winds. For Sunday, it
will be warmer still with light winds from the southwest. Expect a
slight chance of showers over the White Mountains on Sunday.

Monday through Wednesday...Dry and warmer conditions continue with
afternoon winds generally 15 mph or less. A slight chance of high
based thunderstorms over the White Mountains on Wednesday.






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